UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM
(Mark One)
ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the fiscal year ended
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
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Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
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Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:
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Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§ 232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files).
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
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If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report.
If securities are registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act, indicate by check mark whether the financial statements of the registrant included in the filing reflect the correction of an error to previously issued financial statements.
Indicate by check mark whether any of those error corrections are restatements that required a recovery analysis of incentive-based compensation received by any of the registrant’s executive officers during the relevant recovery period pursuant to §240.10D-1(b). ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes
The aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates of the registrant, based on the closing price of the shares of common stock on the New York Stock Exchange on July 15, 2023, was $4
The number of shares of the registrant’s Common Stock outstanding as of February 15, 2024 was
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the registrant’s Proxy Statement for the 2024 Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held May 23, 2024, which is expected to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on or about April 9, 2024, have been incorporated by reference into Part III, Items 10, 11, 12, 13 and 14 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
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FORM 10-K REPORT
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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PART I |
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Item 1. |
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Item 1A. |
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Item 1B. |
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Item 1C. |
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Item 2. |
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Item 3. |
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Item 4. |
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PART II |
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Item 5. |
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Item 6. |
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Item 7. |
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
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Item 7A. |
42 |
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Item 8. |
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Item 9. |
Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure |
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Item 9A. |
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Item 9B. |
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Item 9C. |
Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspections |
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PART III |
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Item 10. |
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Item 11. |
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Item 12. |
Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters |
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Item 13. |
Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence |
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Item 14. |
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PART IV |
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Item 15. |
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Item 16. |
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1
Forward-Looking Statements
Statements contained in this filing and certain other written or oral statements made from time to time by Flowers Foods, Inc. (the “company”, “Flowers Foods”, “Flowers”, “us”, “we”, or “our”) and its representatives that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements relate to current expectations regarding our business and our future financial condition and results of operations and are often identified by the use of words and phrases such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “predict,” “project,” “should,” “will,” “would,” “is likely to,” “is expected to” or “will continue,” or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions we believe are reasonable.
Forward-looking statements are based on current information and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected. Certain factors that may cause actual results, performance, liquidity, and achievements to differ materially from those projected are discussed in this Annual Report on Form 10-K (the “Form 10-K”) and may include, but are not limited to:
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The foregoing list of important factors does not include all such factors, nor does it necessarily present them in order of importance. In addition, you should consult other disclosures made by the company (such as in our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) or in company press releases) for other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected by the company. Refer to Part I, Item 1A., Risk Factors, of this Form 10-K for additional information regarding factors that could affect the company’s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.
We caution you not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as they speak only as of the date made and are inherently uncertain. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update such statements, except as required by law. You are advised, however, to consult any further public disclosures by the company (such as in our filings with the SEC or in company press releases) on related subjects.
We own or have rights to trademarks or trade names that we use in connection with the operation of our business, including our corporate names, logos and website names. In addition, we own or have the rights to copyrights, trade secrets and other proprietary rights that protect the content of our products and the formulations for such products. Solely for convenience, some of the trademarks, trade names and copyrights referred to in this Form 10-K are listed without the ©, ® and symbols, but we will assert, to the fullest extent under applicable law, our rights to our trademarks, trade names and copyrights.
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PART I
Item 1. Business
The Company
Flowers Foods, Inc. (which we reference to herein as “we,” “our,” “us,” the “company,” “Flowers” or “Flowers Foods”), founded in 1919 as a Georgia corporation and headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia, is currently the second-largest producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the United States (“U.S.”). Our principal products include breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, and tortillas and are sold under a variety of brand names, including Nature’s Own, Dave’s Killer Bread (“DKB”), Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, Tastykake, and Mrs. Freshley’s. Our brands are among the best known in the baking industry. Many of our brands have a major presence in the product categories in which they compete.
Flowers’ strategic priorities include developing our team, focusing on our brands, prioritizing our margins, and proactively seeking out smart, disciplined acquisitions and are described further in the following section. We believe executing on our strategic priorities will drive future growth and margin expansion and deliver meaningful shareholder value over time.
Current Inflationary Economic Environment and Other Macroeconomic Factors
We continue to monitor the impact of the inflationary economic environment, supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the conflict in the Middle East on our business. Our results for Fiscal 2023 continued to benefit from a more optimized sales mix of branded retail products as compared to pre-pandemic periods. However, we experienced significant input cost inflation for commodities and transportation, and, to a lesser extent, for labor in the current and prior year periods. To mitigate the ongoing cost pressures, we implemented price increases during the first quarter of Fiscal 2023 and midway through the second quarter of Fiscal 2023.
Additionally, in both the current and prior year, we experienced supply chain disruptions and capacity constraints (largely for gluten-free production) resulting in lower production volumes and sales. These and other supply chain disruptions could continue to negatively impact production volumes due to uncertainty in the global and U.S. supply chain. Although the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict in the Middle East have not impacted us directly, we are closely monitoring the effects on the broader economy, including on the availability and price of commodities used in or for the production of our products. Disruptions in our operations, related to factors including, but not limited to, the procurement of raw materials and packaging items, transport of our products, and available workforce, have negatively impacted, and could continue to negatively impact, our operations, results of operations, cash flows, and liquidity.
Labor shortages and turnover at some of our bakeries in Fiscal 2023 and 2022 hampered production levels. These and other factors, including, but not limited to, high employment rates and additional government regulations, may continue to adversely affect labor availability and labor costs. These challenges may negatively affect our ability to operate our production lines efficiently or run at full capacity which could lead to increased labor costs, including additional overtime to meet demand and higher wage rates to attract and retain workers. An overall labor shortage, lack of skilled labor, or increased turnover could have a material adverse impact on the company’s operations, results of operations, liquidity, or cash flows.
We believe we have sufficient liquidity to satisfy our cash needs and we continue to execute on our strategic priorities, including our transformation strategy initiatives.
For additional discussion on the impact of macroeconomic factors on our business, refer to Part II, Item 7., Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, of this Form 10-K.
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Strategic Initiatives
We are a brand-focused company dedicated to the consumer and committed to growing our most profitable brands through innovation, market expansion, and prudent mergers and acquisitions (“M&A”). Our strategic priorities and our long-term goals are as follows:
Strategic Priorities:
Long-term Goals:
A key to our success in achieving our strategic priorities is our talented and dedicated team. We recognize the importance of investing in our people as further discussed in the “Human Capital Resources” section below, which details how we attract, retain, and develop our team. Additionally, we recognize the importance of realigning people and responsibilities in successfully implementing our long-term strategies. This realignment can take the form of organizational changes or providing crucial tools, including investments in our information systems. Our cross-functional transformation office is responsible for overseeing the implementation of our strategic priorities, including our digital and ERP initiatives, which are discussed in more detail under the “Transformation Strategy Initiatives” section below.
A major focus of our long-term strategy is to evolve our sales portfolio to higher margin, value-added branded retail products that we expect will generate top line growth and improve overall profitability. We expect an optimized portfolio will drive share gains by targeting growth segments with new, innovative products. We have established clear roles for the brands and product lines within our portfolio to enable more targeted decision-making on brand investment. Over the past several years, we have completed sales rationalization initiatives resulting in a more streamlined brand and product assortment, and reduced brand portfolio complexity.
As we implement our targeted sales portfolio strategy, the flexibility of our production and distribution systems allows us to pivot capacity to meet this changing demand. For example, Fiscal 2023, we acquired the Papa Pita Bakery business ("Papa Pita") expanding our production capacity, including for bagels, pitas, and flat breads, the majority of which Papa Pita previously co-manufactured for us, and increasing our direct-store-delivery distribution in the western U.S. In Fiscal 2022, we increased production capacity for our organic products by adding a production line at our Henderson, Nevada bakery to better serve the West Coast market. Additionally, we ceased production at our Phoenix, Arizona bakery, an older, less efficient bakery that produced traditional bread and bun products. We believe our flexible bakery system allows us to quickly shift production to high demand products and adjust distribution where needed. We are continuing to optimize our distribution system by reducing network complexity through depot consolidation and reducing transport miles.
M&A has always been, and we expect will continue to be, an important part of our long-term growth strategy. We employ a disciplined approach to M&A, seeking out candidates primarily in the grain-based foods arena that enhance our branded portfolio, extend our geographic presence, are a strong cultural fit, and add enhanced capabilities to our company. We believe our strong balance sheet and cash flow generation enables us to execute our M&A strategy and, as discussed above, on February 17, 2023, we completed the purchase of Papa Pita, a manufacturer and distributor of bagels, tortillas, breads, buns, English muffins, and flat breads. Founded in 1983, Papa Pita operates one production facility in West Jordan, Utah.
Transformation Strategy Initiatives
In the second half of Fiscal 2020, we launched initiatives to transform our business operations. The primary goals of these initiatives are to: (1) enable a more agile business model, empowering the organization by fundamentally redesigning core business
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processes; (2) embed digital capabilities and transform the way we engage with our consumers, customers and employees; and (3) modernize and simplify our application and technology infrastructure landscape, inclusive of the upgrade of our ERP system.
In February 2023, we announced a restructuring of plant operation responsibilities from the sales function to the supply chain function to improve operational effectiveness, increase profitable sales, and better meet customer requirements. This restructuring has now transitioned to digitally enabling these key functions, driving accountability, and improving operational performance and sales execution.
Digital Strategy Initiatives
Our digital strategy initiatives include investments in digital domains of e-commerce, autonomous planning, bakery of the future, digital logistics, and digital sales. In e-commerce, we strive to become a category and market share leader, engage with the consumer through digital platforms and marketplaces, and support our retail partners’ omnichannel strategies. The autonomous planning domain encompasses predictive ordering, cost-to-serve modeling, integrated business planning, and supply and demand forecasting, among other areas. Bakery of the future involves transforming our current manufacturing processes and operational visibility to apply industry-leading digital manufacturing tools, such as real-time performance management and visibility, automation of repetitive processes, standardization of processes and procedures, and sensor-based quality monitoring tools to improve consistency and quality. Digital logistics includes real-time operational visibility, improving our routing efficiency, and automating the freight bill pay audit process. Finally, digital sales is focused on improving our sales execution through improved visibility to in-store activities, streamlined reporting, focusing in-store priorities, and improved collaboration tools across our sales ecosystem.
These digital domains are expected to improve data visibility and efficiencies while automating many of our processes. When fully implemented, we expect this work will further our brand efforts, bring us closer to the consumer, increase operational efficiencies, and deliver higher-quality, real-time insights, which will in turn enable more predictive business decision-making. We transitioned into the implementation phase for the e-commerce, autonomous planning, and bakery of the future domains and selected two bakeries for the pilot program for bakery of the future and autonomous planning in Fiscal 2021. To date, we have rolled out bakery of the future to 33 bakeries, digital logistics to all bakery locations, and autonomous planning and our digital sales tools across our entire sales organization. Costs related to the digital initiatives are fluid and cannot be currently estimated.
ERP Upgrade
This initiative includes upgrading our information system platform and is expected to improve data management and efficiencies while automating many of our processes. We completed the initial planning and road mapping phase of the ERP upgrade at the end of Fiscal 2020. In the first quarter of Fiscal 2021, we transitioned into the design phase and engaged a leading, global consulting firm to assist us in designing and implementing the upgrade of our ERP platform and to serve as the system integrator for the project. We transitioned into the build phase at the beginning of Fiscal 2022 and during the second quarter of Fiscal 2023, we began deploying the ERP upgrade. We plan to continue the deployment across the organization over the next few years.
We expect the transformation strategy initiatives to require significant capital investment and expense over the next several years. We currently anticipate the upgrade of our ERP system will cost approximately $350 million (of which approximately 34% has been or is anticipated to be capitalized) and anticipate the upgrade to be completed in 2026. Previously, these costs were estimated to be approximately $275 million. The increase in estimated costs resulted from expanding the project scope and anticipation of greater reliance on external resources for bakery deployments due to labor constraints. As of December 30, 2023, we have incurred costs related to the project of approximately $214 million. See Item 1A., Risk Factors, “We may experience difficulties in designing and implementing the upgrade of our ERP system.”
Segment
Since the beginning of Fiscal 2019, we have managed our business as one operating segment. The company concluded it has one operating segment based on the nature of the products the company sells, its intertwined production and distribution model, the internal management structure and information that is regularly reviewed by the chief executive officer (“CEO”), who is the chief operating decision maker, for the purpose of assessing performance and allocating resources. See Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K for detailed financial information about our operating segment.
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Brands & Products
We report our sales as Branded Retail and Other. The Other category includes store branded retail, foodservice, restaurant, institutional, vending, thrift stores, and contract manufacturing. In Fiscal 2023, Branded Retail sales represented 64.1% of our total sales.
Our brands are some of the best-known in the U.S. fresh packaged bread industry and many of them hold leading market positions in the categories in which they compete. We believe having a well-diversified portfolio of brands allows us to be more competitive in the marketplace and appeal to a broader range of consumers. Our principal products are breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, and tortillas. The table below presents the major brands within our diversified brand portfolio:
Strategic Positioning |
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Key Brands |
Mainstream |
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Nature's Own, Wonder, Tastykake |
Organic |
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Dave's Killer Bread |
Gluten Free |
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Canyon Bakehouse |
Brand Highlights
In Fiscal 2023, we introduced Nature's Own Keto bread, Nature's Own Hawaiian and Everything hamburger buns, Tastykake Dipp'n Sticks, and Mrs. Freshley's Donut Sticks, among others. New product introductions in Fiscal 2022 included Nature's Own Hawaiian loaf bread, Nature's Own Perfectly Crafted Sourdough loaf bread, DKB Organic Everything Bread, and Canyon Bakehouse Gluten-Free Brioche and Hawaiian dinner roll varieties, among other new products. Additionally, in Fiscal 2022, we introduced new varieties of DKB Organic Snack Bars, including protein bars, and began the nationwide rollout of three varieties of the DKB Organic Snack Bars in Fiscal 2023. In early Fiscal 2023, we launched DKB Crunchy Snack Bites in test markets. The DKB snack bars and snack bites are part of an initiative to extend our presence beyond the traditional bread category and into the snacking category.
Our brands and products are sold through various channels throughout the U.S. These channels include supermarkets, drugstores, mass merchandisers, discount stores, club stores, convenience stores, thrift outlet stores, and foodservice, among others.
Marketing
We support our key brands with an advertising and marketing effort that targets consumers through electronic and in-store coupons, social media (such as Facebook and X (formerly Twitter)), digital media (including e-newsletters to consumers), websites (our brand sites and third-party sites), event and sports marketing, on-package promotional offers and sweepstakes, and print advertising. When appropriate, we may join other sponsors with promotional tie-ins. We often focus our marketing efforts on specific products and holidays, such as hamburger and hot dog bun sales during Memorial Day, the Fourth of July, and Labor Day, and snack cakes for specific seasons. Additionally, we have made and are continuing to make marketing investments to target e-commerce sales as consumers shift to more online shopping alternatives, such as grocery delivery sites, retailer websites and apps, among others.
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Customers
Our top 10 customers in Fiscal 2023 accounted for 55.5% of sales. During Fiscal 2023, our largest customer, Walmart/Sam’s Club, represented 22.3% of the company’s sales. The loss of, or a material negative change in our relationship with, Walmart/Sam’s Club or any other major customer could have a material adverse effect on our business. Walmart/Sam’s Club was the only customer to account for 10% or more of our sales during Fiscal 2023, 2022, and 2021.
Fresh baked foods’ customers include mass merchandisers, supermarkets and other retailers, restaurants, quick-serve chains, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies. We also sell returned and surplus product through a system of thrift stores. The company currently operates 238 such stores and reported sales of $70.3 million during Fiscal 2023 from these outlets.
We also (1) supply national and regional restaurants, institutions and foodservice distributors, and retail in-store bakeries with breads and rolls; (2) sell packaged bakery products to wholesale distributors for ultimate sale to a wide variety of food outlets; and (3) sell packaged snack cakes primarily to customers who distribute them nationwide through multiple channels of distribution, including mass merchandisers, supermarkets, vending outlets and convenience stores. In certain circumstances, we enter into co-packing arrangements with retail customers or other food companies, some of which are competitors. Although we service public health care, military commissaries, and prisons, among other governmental institutions, we do not have any material government contracts.
Distribution
We distribute our products through a direct-store-delivery (“DSD”) distribution system and a warehouse delivery system. The DSD distribution system primarily involves aggregating order levels and delivering products from bakeries to independent distributors for sale and direct delivery to customer stores. The independent distributors are responsible for ordering products, stocking shelves, maintaining special displays, and developing and maintaining good customer relations to ensure adequate inventory and removing unsold goods. In certain markets, we utilize a sales employee model to facilitate the distribution of product through our DSD distribution system. The warehouse delivery system involves primarily delivering our products to customers’ warehouses.
The company has sold the majority of the distribution rights to market certain brands within a geographic territory to independent distributors under long-term financing arrangements. Independent distributors, highly motivated by financial incentives from their distribution rights ownership, strive to increase sales within their defined geographic territory by offering outstanding service and merchandising.
Our DSD distribution system is comprised of three types of territories: (1) independent distributor-owned and operated territories (independent distributors own the rights to distribute certain brands of our fresh packaged bakery foods in defined geographic markets); (2) distribution rights that are classified as available for sale in the Consolidated Balance Sheets; and (3) other company operated territories. The table below presents the approximate number of territories used by the company as of December 30, 2023:
Type of territory |
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Number of |
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Independent distributor-owned and operated territories |
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5,105 |
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Territories classified as available for sale |
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567 |
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Other company operated territories |
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251 |
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Total territories |
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5,923 |
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The company expects to repurchase approximately 400 territories in California during Fiscal 2024 and convert them to company operated territories mostly as a result of the settlement of litigation as further discussed in Note 23, Commitments and Contingencies, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K. Once repurchased, the territories will not be resold and will be classified as company operated territories.
Our warehouse distribution system delivers a portion of our packaged bakery snack products from a central distribution facility located near our Crossville, Tennessee snack cake bakery. We believe this centralized distribution system allows us to achieve both production and distribution efficiencies. Products coming from different bakeries are then cross-docked and shipped directly to customers’ warehouses nationwide. Our frozen bread and roll products are shipped to various outside freezer facilities for distribution to our customers.
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Intellectual Property
We own many trademarks, trade names, patents, and licenses. The company also sells products under franchised and licensed trademarks and trade names which we do not own pursuant to contractual arrangements. We consider our trademarks and trade names important to our business since we use them to build strong brand awareness and consumer loyalty.
Raw Materials
Our primary baking ingredients are flour, sweeteners, shortening, yeast and water. We also purchase organic and gluten-free ingredients. We also use paper products, such as corrugated containers, folding cartons, films and plastics to package our bakery foods. We strive to maintain diversified sources for all of our baking ingredients and packaging products. In addition, we are dependent on natural gas or propane as fuel for firing our ovens.
Prices of ingredient and packaging materials fluctuate due to various factors including, but not limited to, government policy and regulation, weather conditions, domestic and international demand, or other unforeseen circumstances, and we monitor these markets closely. Ingredient and packaging costs were volatile in both Fiscal 2023 and 2022 but are expected to be more favorable in Fiscal 2024. We enter into forward purchase agreements and other financial instruments to manage the impact of volatility in certain raw material prices. Any decrease in the availability of these agreements and instruments could increase the price of these raw materials and significantly affect our earnings.
Regulations
As a producer and marketer of food items, our operations are subject to regulation by various federal governmental agencies, including the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the U.S. Department of Commerce, and the U.S. Department of Labor (the “DOL”). We also are subject to the regulations of various state agencies, with respect to production processes, product quality, packaging, labeling, storage, distribution, labor, and local regulations regarding the licensing of bakeries and the enforcement of state standards and facility inspections. Under various statutes and regulations, these federal and state agencies prescribe requirements and establish standards for quality, purity, and labeling. Failure to comply with one or more regulatory requirements could result in a variety of sanctions, including monetary fines or compulsory withdrawal of products from store shelves.
Advertising of our brands is subject to regulation by the Federal Trade Commission, and we are subject to certain health and safety regulations, including those issued under the Occupational Safety and Health Act.
The cost of compliance with such laws and regulations has not had a material adverse effect on the company’s business. We believe we are currently in substantial compliance with all material federal, state and local laws and regulations affecting the company and its properties.
Our operations, like those of similar businesses, are subject to various federal, state and local laws and regulations with respect to environmental matters, including air and water quality and underground fuel storage tanks, as well as other regulations intended to protect public health and the environment. The company is not a party to any material proceedings arising under these laws and regulations. We believe compliance with existing environmental laws and regulations will not materially affect the Consolidated Financial Statements or the competitive position of the company. The company is currently in substantial compliance with all material environmental laws and regulations affecting the company and its properties.
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Competitive Overview
The U.S. market for fresh and frozen bakery products is estimated at $50 billion at retail. The fresh packaged bread category is intensely competitive and has continued to experience industry consolidation and volume decreases in recent years. Flowers Foods is currently the second-largest company in the U.S. fresh baking industry based on market share as presented in the following chart (amounts may not compute due to rounding). (Source: Circana Flowers custom database, 52 weeks ending 12/31/23):
The current competitive landscape for breads and rolls in the U.S. baking industry consists of Bimbo Bakeries USA (BBU), Flowers Foods, and Campbell Soup Company, under the Pepperidge Farm brand, along with a number of smaller independent regional bakers, local bakeries, and retailer-owned bakeries.
Some of these smaller regional bakers do not enjoy the competitive advantages of larger operations, including greater brand awareness and economies of scale in purchasing, distribution, production, IT, advertising and marketing. However, size alone is not sufficient to ensure success in our industry. The company faces significant competition from regional and independent bakeries in certain geographic areas.
Competition in the baking industry continues to be driven by a number of factors, including the ability to serve retail and foodservice customers, generational changes in family-owned businesses, and competitors’ promotional efforts on branded bread and store brands. Competition typically is based on the ability to target changing consumer preferences, product availability (including through e-commerce channels), product quality, brand loyalty, price, and effective promotions. Customer service, including frequent deliveries to keep store shelves well-stocked, is also a competitive factor.
The company also faces competition from store brands that are produced either by us or our competitors. Store brands (also known as “private label”) have been offered by food retailers for decades. With the growth of mass merchandisers like Walmart and the ongoing consolidation of regional supermarkets into larger operations, store brands have become a significant competitor to the company. The store brand share of retail fresh packaged bread in the U.S. accounts for approximately 21% of the dollar sales and approximately 31% of unit sales. Its dollar share had been steadily declining for a number of years prior to Fiscal 2022, however that trend reversed in Fiscal 2022 and expanded in Fiscal 2023. The recent inflationary environment has pressured more consumers to trade down to store brand bakery products.
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Human Capital Resources
As of December 30, 2023, Flowers and its subsidiaries had approximately 9,300 employees located throughout the U.S. and approximately 4,800 long-term leased employees. Approximately 865 employees are covered by collective bargaining agreements and there are no material outstanding labor disputes.
Our legacy of excellence is built on 100+ years of hard work by thousands of Flowers team members. As W.H. Flowers, Jr. said, “The key to any enterprise or goal is people. People of character, people of integrity, people who don’t mind working and taking advantage of their opportunity.” We continue to strive toward a people-centric legacy by implementing initiatives that enhance the lives of every employee.
Flowers aims to attract a qualified workforce through an inclusive and accessible recruiting process that utilizes online recruiting platforms, campus outreach, apprenticeships, internships, and job fairs. In 2023, we established relationships with historically black colleges and universities (HBCUs) to expand our reach and recruit more diverse talent. Flowers is also a proud second chance employer for individuals impacted by the criminal justice system, furthering the commitment that began when we acquired the DKB brand in Fiscal 2015. At Flowers, we have implemented recruitment initiatives at our bakeries to attract and retain ex-offenders.
In addition, Flowers is a long-time supporter of causes that support U.S. veterans and their families. Since 2018, through our Wonder and Tastykake brands, we have partnered with the USO to help provide a variety of programs that keep service members and their families connected. Through this partnership, we have donated $2.3 million to the USO and some of our marketing campaigns and packaging tie-ins recognize the service and sacrifices of the military. Presently, Flowers employs more than 490 veterans.
Flowers offers team members competitive wages, benefits, and training opportunities, while also promoting a safe and healthy workplace. The company provides its employees with resources to enhance their skills and careers, including:
In Fiscal 2023, Flowers continued implementing our diversity, equity, and inclusion (DE&I) training and added DE&I to the onboarding process. The company’s board of directors (the “Board” or “Board of Directors”) receives regular updates from management on our inclusion and diversity efforts.
Additionally, we regularly conduct anonymous surveys to capture feedback from our team members on a variety of topics, including, but not limited to, confidence in company leadership, competitiveness of our compensation and benefits package, career growth opportunities and how we can make our company an employer of choice. The results are shared with our team members and reviewed by senior leadership, who seek to analyze areas of opportunity and prioritize actions and activities in response to the feedback to drive meaningful change in our overall employee experience. As an example, our leadership team approved the implementation of a self-managed time-off policy for those at the director and above level as a result of survey feedback.
Total Rewards
We have a demonstrated history of investing in our workforce by providing competitive wages and benefits. Our benefits package includes:
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We believe that because employees drive our success, they should share in that success. In addition to competitive wages and benefits, when annual company goals are met, eligible team members at all levels are rewarded with a bonus.
Other Available Information
Throughout this Form 10-K, we incorporate by reference information from parts of other documents filed with the SEC. The SEC allows us to disclose important information by referring to it in this manner, and you should review this information in addition to the information contained in this report.
Our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and proxy statement for the annual shareholders’ meeting, as well as any amendments to those reports, are available free of charge through our website as soon as reasonably practicable after we file them with the SEC. You can learn more about us by reviewing our SEC filings on our website at www.flowersfoods.com in the “REPORTS & FILINGS” section of the “INVESTORS” tab. The SEC also maintains a website at www.sec.gov that contains reports, proxy statements and other information about SEC registrants, including the company. Except as otherwise expressly set forth herein, the information contained on our website is neither included nor incorporated by reference herein.
The following corporate governance documents may be obtained free of charge through our website in the “CORPORATE GOVERNANCE” section of the “INVESTORS” tab or by sending a written request to Flowers Foods, Inc., 1919 Flowers Circle, Thomasville, GA 31757, Attention: Investor Relations.
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
You should carefully consider the risks described below, together with the other information included in this report, in considering our business and prospects. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones facing us. These risk factors are not listed in any order of significance. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to us, or that we currently deem insignificant, may also impair our business operations. The occurrence of any of the following risks could harm our business, financial condition, liquidity, or results of operations.
Operational Risks
Economic conditions may negatively impact demand for our products, which could adversely impact our sales and operating profit.
The willingness of our customers and consumers to purchase our products may depend in part on economic conditions. Worsening economic conditions or future challenges to economic growth could have a negative impact on consumer demand, which could adversely affect our business. Deterioration of national and global economic conditions could cause consumers to shift purchases to more generic, lower-priced, or other value offerings, or consumers may forego certain purchases altogether during economic downturns and could result in decreased demand in the foodservice business. This economic uncertainty may increase pressure to reduce the prices of some of our products, limit our ability to increase or maintain prices, and reduce sales of higher margin products or shift our product mix to low-margin products.
In addition, changes in tax or interest rates, whether due to recession, efforts to combat inflation, financial and credit market disruptions or other reasons, could negatively impact us.
A disruption or change in the operation of our DSD distribution system could materially and/or negatively affect our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
A material negative change in our relationship with the independent distributor partners could negatively affect our business. Such changes could result from litigation or one or more adverse rulings by courts or regulatory or governmental bodies in any of the jurisdictions in which we operate regarding our independent distributorship model, including actions or decisions that could affect the independent contractor classifications of the independent distributor partners, or an adverse judgment against the company for actions taken by the independent distributor partners. These changes could also result from regulatory developments based on the manner in which the U.S. Department of Labor applies the Fair Labor Standards Act. In addition, as a result of California distributor-related litigation, we plan to convert our DSD distribution model in California to an employment model in 2024. Any of these developments could materially and/or negatively affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
We may not be able to attract or retain the highly skilled people we need for our business.
We depend on the skills and continued service of key personnel, including our experienced management team. In addition, our ability to achieve our strategic and operating goals depends on our ability to attract, recruit, hire, develop, and retain qualified individuals, including individuals with e-commerce, digital marketing, and data analytics capabilities. We compete with other companies both within and outside of our industry for talented personnel, and we may lose key personnel or fail to attract, recruit, hire, develop, and retain other talented personnel. Any such loss, failure or negative perception with respect to these individuals may adversely affect our business or financial results. In addition, activities related to identifying, recruiting, hiring, and integrating qualified individuals may require significant time and expense. We may not be able to locate suitable replacements for any key employees who terminate their employment or offer employment to potential replacements on reasonable terms, each of which may adversely affect our business and financial results.
Labor shortages and increased turnover or increases in employee and employee-related costs could have adverse effects on our profitability.
We have recently experienced labor shortages at some of our bakeries. A number of factors may adversely affect the labor force available to us, including high employment levels, federal unemployment subsidies and benefits offered, and other government regulations, which include laws and regulations related to workers’ health and safety, wage and hour practices, and immigration. A labor shortage or increased turnover rates within our employee base could lead to increased costs, such as increased overtime to meet demand and increased wage rates to attract and retain employees, and could negatively affect our ability to efficiently operate our bakeries and bread lines or otherwise operate at full capacity. An overall labor shortage, lack of skilled labor, increased turnover or labor inflation could have a material adverse impact on the company’s operations, results of operations, liquidity or cash flows.
Additionally, health care, workers’ compensation, postretirement welfare, and pension costs are increasing and will likely continue to do so. Any substantial increase in these costs may have an adverse impact on our profitability. The company records the liabilities related to its benefit plans based on actuarial valuations, which include key assumptions determined by management. Material changes in benefit plan liabilities may occur in the future due to changes in these assumptions. Future annual amounts could be impacted by
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various factors, such as changes in the number of plan participants, changes in the discount rate, changes in the expected long-term rate of return, changes in the level of contributions to the plan, and other factors. In addition, legislation or regulations involving labor and employment and employee benefit plans (including employee health care benefits and costs) may impact our operational results.
The costs of maintaining and enhancing the value and awareness of our brands are increasing, which could have an adverse impact on our revenues and profitability.
We rely on the success of our well-recognized brand names and we intend to maintain our strong brand recognition by continuing to devote resources to advertising, marketing and other brand building efforts. Brand value could diminish significantly due to several factors, including consumer perception that we have acted in an irresponsible manner, adverse publicity about our products (whether or not valid), our failure to maintain the quality of our products, the failure of our products to deliver consistently positive consumer experiences, or the products becoming unavailable to consumers. The growing use of social and digital media platforms by consumers and third parties increases the speed and extent that information or misinformation and opinions can be shared. Brand recognition and loyalty can be impacted by the effectiveness of our advertising campaigns, marketing programs and sponsorships, as well as our use of social media. In addition, failure to comply with local or other laws and regulations could also hurt our reputation. Our marketing investments may not prove successful in maintaining or increasing our market share. If we are not able to successfully maintain our brand recognition or were to suffer damage to our reputation or loss of consumer confidence in our products for any of these reasons, our revenues and profitability could be adversely affected.
Our inability to execute our business strategy could adversely affect our business.
We employ various operating strategies to maintain our position as one of the nation’s leading producers and marketers of bakery products available to customers through multiple channels of distribution. In particular, these operating strategies include, among other things, (i) the integration of acquisitions or the acquisition or disposition of assets at presently targeted values, (ii) the deployment of new systems and technology, and (iii) an enhanced organizational structure. Our focus on our long-term goals of being consumer-focused and committed to growing our most profitable brands is dependent on our success in achieving our strategic priorities: (i) develop team; (ii) focus on brands; (iii) prioritize margins; and (iv) smart M&A. These and related demands on our resources may divert the organization’s attention from other business issues. Our success is partly dependent upon properly executing, and realizing cost savings or other benefits from, these often-complex initiatives. Any delay in, or failure to implement, our strategic initiatives could adversely affect our ability to grow margins. If we are unsuccessful in implementing or executing one or more of our business strategies, our business could be adversely affected.
We may be adversely impacted by the failure to successfully realize the expected benefits of acquisitions, divestitures or joint ventures.
From time to time, we undertake acquisitions, divestitures, joint ventures and co-investments. The success of any acquisition, divestiture or joint venture depends on the company’s ability to identify opportunities that help us meet our strategic objectives, consummate a transaction on favorable contractual terms, and achieve expected returns and other financial benefits.
Acquisitions, including future acquisitions, require us to efficiently integrate the acquired business or businesses, which involves a significant degree of difficulty, including the following:
Divestitures have operational risks that may include impairment charges. Divestitures also present unique financial and operational risks, including diverting management attention from the existing core business, separating personnel and financial data and other systems, and adversely affecting existing business relationships with suppliers and customers.
Co-investments with third parties through partnership, joint ventures, or other entities, may involve non-controlling, illiquid interests and limited decision-making authority. Investments in partnerships, joint ventures, or other entities may, under certain
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circumstances, involve risks not present were a third-party not involved, including the possibility that our joint venture partners might become bankrupt, fail to fund their share of required capital contributions, make poor business decisions, or block or delay necessary decisions. Disputes between us and our joint venture partners may result in litigation or arbitration that would increase our expenses. In addition, we may in certain circumstances be liable for the actions of our joint venture partners.
We have had, and may have in the future, situations where acquisitions, divestitures or joint ventures are not successfully implemented or completed, or the expected benefits of such acquisitions or divestitures are not otherwise realized, which has, and may in the future, negatively impacted the company’s business, results of operations or financial condition.
Disruption in our supply chain or distribution capabilities from political instability, armed hostilities, incidents of terrorism, natural disasters, weather, inferior product or ingredient supply, or labor strikes could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Our ability to make, move and sell products is critical to our success. Damage or disruption to our manufacturing or distribution capabilities, or the manufacturing or distribution capabilities of our suppliers, due to weather, including any potential effects of climate change, natural disaster, fire or explosion, terrorism, pandemics (such as COVID-19 and any variants), inferior product or ingredient supply, labor strikes or work stoppages, or adverse outcomes in litigation involving our independent distributor model, could impair our ability to make, move or sell our products. Moreover, terrorist activity, armed conflict or political instability, including any escalation of hostility arising out of the conflict between Russia and the Ukraine and the conflict in the Middle East, or natural disasters that may occur within or outside the U.S. may disrupt manufacturing, labor, and other business operations. Failure to take adequate steps to mitigate the likelihood or potential impact of such events and disruption to our manufacturing or distribution capabilities, or to effectively manage such events if they occur, could adversely affect our business, financial conditions and results of operations.
The third-party vendor management processes may not be appropriately designed to reduce risks related to the delivery of goods, supplies and services.
As part of a concerted effort to achieve cost savings and efficiencies, we have entered into agreements with third-party vendors for the delivery of goods, supplies and services, including IT services. If we do not select quality vendors, appropriately review vendor contracts and monitor these vendors’ performance (including their ability to protect our customer, consumer or other confidential data), or if any of these third-parties do not perform according to the terms of the agreements, we may not be able to achieve the expected cost savings, we may have to incur additional costs to correct errors made by such third-party vendors or our reputation could be harmed by any failure to perform.
Technology Risks
We may be adversely impacted if our IT systems fail to perform adequately, including with respect to cybersecurity issues.
The efficient operation of our business depends on our IT systems. We rely on our IT systems to effectively manage our business data, communications, supply chain, order entry and fulfillment, and other business processes. The failure of our IT systems (including those provided to us by third-parties) to perform as we anticipate could disrupt our business and could result in billing, collecting and ordering errors, processing inefficiencies, and the loss of sales and customers, causing our business and results of operations to suffer.
In addition, our IT systems (including those provided to us by third parties) may be vulnerable to damage or interruption from circumstances beyond our control, including fire, natural disasters, systems failures, security breaches or intrusions (including theft of customer, consumer or other confidential data), and viruses. Cyber-attacks and other cyber incidents are occurring more frequently in the United States and are becoming more sophisticated with a wide range of expertise and motives. Such cyber-attacks and cyber incidents can take many forms, including extortion, denial of service, or social engineering through phishing or malware emails. In addition, the risk of cyber-attacks has increased in connection with the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the conflict in the Middle East, and the resulting geopolitical conflicts. In light of those and other geopolitical events, nation-state actors or their supporters may launch retaliatory cyber-attacks, and may attempt to cause supply chain and other third-party service provider disruptions, or take other geopolitically motivated retaliatory actions that may disrupt our business operations, result in data compromise, or both. These circumstances increase the likelihood of cyber-attacks and/or security breaches. In addition, the rapid evolution and increased adoption of artificial intelligence technologies may intensify our cybersecurity risks.
There can be no assurance that the policies, protocols, and practices that we follow to address cybersecurity, including our controls or procedures, will be fully implemented, complied with or effective in protecting our systems and information. We may incur significant costs in protecting or remediating cyber-attacks or other cyber incidents. If we are unable to prevent physical and electronic break-ins, cyber-attacks and other information security breaches, we may suffer financial and reputational damage, be subject to litigation or incur remediation costs or penalties because of the unauthorized disclosure of confidential information belonging to us or to our partners, customers, suppliers or employees.
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We may experience difficulties in designing and implementing the upgrade of our ERP system.
We are in the midst of implementing an upgrade to our ERP system to a more robust platform. The upgrade of the ERP system is designed to accurately maintain our financial records, enhance our operational functionality and provide timely information to our management team related to the operations of the business. The design and implementation of the upgrade to the ERP system requires an investment of significant personnel and financial resources, including substantial expenditures for outside consultants, system hardware and software in addition to other expenses in connection with the transformation of our financial and operating processes. We may not be able to implement the ERP system upgrade successfully without experiencing delays, increased costs and other difficulties, including potential design defects, miscalculations, testing requirements, and the diversion of management’s attention from day-to-day business operations. If we are unable to implement the ERP system upgrade as planned, the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting could be adversely affected, our ability to assess those controls adequately could be delayed, and our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows could be negatively impacted.
Industry Risks
Increases in costs and/or shortages of raw materials, fuels and utilities could adversely impact our profitability.
Raw materials, such as flour, sweeteners, shortening, yeast, and water, which are used in our bakery products, are subject to price fluctuations. The cost of these inputs may fluctuate widely due to foreign and domestic government policies and regulations, inflation, weather conditions, domestic and international demand, availability due to supply chain conditions, or other unforeseen circumstances. The global economy has been negatively impacted by the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict in the Middle East. Both conflicts are fast-moving and uncertain. Global grain markets have exhibited increased volatility as sanctions have been imposed on Russia by the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, and others in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Furthermore, the conflict in the Middle East may impact oil production capacity, oil prices, and cause disruptions in global supply chains and shipping routes. While we do not expect our operations to be directly impacted by these conflicts at this time, changes in global grain and commodity flows and increased supply chain costs could impact the markets in which we operate, which may in turn negatively impact our business, results of operations, supply chain and financial condition. Any substantial change in the prices or availability of raw materials may have an adverse impact on our profitability. We enter into forward purchase agreements and other derivative financial instruments from time to time to manage the impact of such volatility in raw materials prices; however, these strategies may not be adequate to overcome increases in market prices or availability. Our failure to enter into hedging or fixed price arrangements or any decrease in the availability or increase in the cost of these agreements and instruments could increase the price of these raw materials and significantly affect our earnings.
In addition, we are dependent upon natural gas or propane for firing ovens. The independent distributors and third-party transportation companies are dependent upon gasoline and diesel for their vehicles. The cost of these fuels may fluctuate widely due to economic and political conditions, government policy and regulation, war or other conflicts (including the current situation in Ukraine and the Middle East), or other unforeseen circumstances. Substantial future increases in prices for, or shortages of, these fuels could have a material adverse effect on our profitability, financial condition or results of operations. There can be no assurance that we can cover these potential cost increases through future pricing actions. Also, as a result of these pricing actions, consumers could purchase less or move from purchasing higher-margin products to lower-margin products.
Inflation may adversely affect us by increasing our costs of production, materials, and labor. In an inflationary environment, such as the current economic environment, depending on the market conditions of the baking industry and the raising of interest rates by the United States Federal Reserve (and the duration of the currently elevated interest rates), we may be unable to raise the prices of our products enough to keep up with the rate of inflation, which would reduce our profit margins, and continued inflationary pressures could impact our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Competition could adversely impact revenues and profitability.
The U.S. bakery industry is highly competitive. Our principal competitors in these categories all have substantial financial, marketing, and other resources. In most product categories, we compete not only with other widely advertised branded products, but also with store branded products that are generally sold at lower prices. Competition is based on product availability, product quality, price, effective promotions, and the ability to target changing consumer preferences. Substantial growth in e-commerce has encouraged the entry of new competitors and business models, intensifying competition by simplifying distribution and lowering barriers to entry. The expanding presence of e-commerce retailers has impacted, and may continue to impact, consumer preferences and market dynamics, which in turn may negatively affect our sales or profits. We experience price pressure from time to time due to competitors’ promotional activity and other pricing efforts. This pricing pressure is particularly strong during adverse economic periods and periods of high inflation. Increased competition could result in reduced sales, margins, profits and market share.
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Product removals, damaged product or safety concerns could adversely impact our results of operations.
We may be required to recall certain of our products should they be mislabeled, contaminated, spoiled, tampered with or damaged. We may become involved in lawsuits and legal proceedings alleging that the consumption of any of our products causes or caused injury, illness or death. Any such product removal, damaged product or an adverse result in any litigation related to such a product removal or damaged product could have a material adverse effect on our operating and financial results in future periods, depending on the costs of the product removal from the market, the destruction of product inventory, diversion of management time and attention, contractual and other claims made by customers that we supply, loss of key customers, competitive reaction and consumer attitudes. Even if a product liability, consumer fraud or other claim is unsuccessful or without merit, the negative publicity surrounding such assertions regarding our products could adversely affect our reputation and brand image. We also could be adversely affected if our customers or consumers in our principal markets lose confidence in the safety and quality of our products.
During fiscal years 2018 through 2023, we have been required, and may be required in future periods, to remove certain of our products from the market should they be mislabeled, contaminated, spoiled, tampered with or damaged, including as a result of inferior ingredients provided by any of our suppliers.
Consolidation in the retail and foodservice industries could adversely affect our sales and profitability.
We expect consolidations among our retail and foodservice customers to continue. If this trend continues and our retail and foodservice customers continue to grow larger due to consolidation in their respective industries, they may demand lower pricing and increased promotional programs. In addition, these pressures may restrict our ability to increase prices, including in response to commodity and other cost increases. Our margins and profits could decrease if a reduction in prices or increased costs are not counterbalanced with increased sales volume.
Inability to anticipate or respond to changes in consumer preferences may result in decreased demand for our products, which could have an adverse impact on our future growth and operating results.
The fresh packaged bread category has experienced volume declines in recent years reflecting, among other factors, shifts in consumer behavior and preferences. Our success depends in part on our ability to respond to current market trends and to anticipate the tastes and dietary habits of consumers, including concerns of consumers regarding health and wellness, obesity, product attributes, ingredients, and packaging. Similarly, demand for our products could be negatively affected by consumer concerns or perceptions regarding the health effects of specific ingredients such as, but not limited to, sodium, trans fats, sugar, processed wheat, or other product ingredients or attributes. Also, certain weight loss drugs and glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) agonists, which may suppress a person's appetite, may impact demand for our products. The introduction of new products and product extensions requires significant development and marketing investment. If we fail to anticipate, identify, or react to changes in consumer preferences, or if we fail to introduce new and improved products on a timely basis, we could experience reduced demand for our products, which could cause our sales, profitability, financial condition, and operating results to suffer.
We rely on several large customers for a significant portion of sales and the loss of one of our large customers or their decision to give higher priority to other brands could adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.
We have several large customers that account for a significant portion of sales, and the loss of one of our large customers could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations. Our top ten customers accounted for 55.5% of sales during Fiscal 2023. Our largest customer, Walmart/Sam’s Club, accounted for 22.3% during this period. These customers do not typically enter long-term sales contracts, and instead make purchase decisions based on a combination of price, product quality, consumer demand, and customer service performance. At any time, there is a risk that our customers will give higher priority to their own products or to the products of our competitors, resulting in less shelf space for our products. Additionally, our customers may face financial or other difficulties that may impact their operations and their purchases from us. Disputes with significant suppliers could also adversely affect our ability to supply products to our customers. If our sales to one or more of these customers are reduced, this reduction may adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.
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Our large customers may impose requirements on us that may adversely affect our results of operations.
From time to time, our large customers may re-evaluate or refine their business practices and impose new or revised requirements on us, the distributors, and the customers’ other suppliers. The growth of large mass merchandisers, supercenters and dollar stores, together with changes in consumer shopping patterns, have produced large, sophisticated customers with increased buying power and negotiating strength. Current trends among retailers and foodservice customers include fostering high levels of competition among suppliers, demanding new products or increased promotional programs, requiring suppliers to maintain or reduce product prices, reducing shelf space for our products, and requiring product delivery with shorter lead times. These business changes may involve inventory practices, logistics, or other aspects of the customer-supplier relationship. Compliance with requirements imposed by large customers may be costly and may have an adverse effect on our margins and profitability. However, if we fail to meet a large customer’s demands, we could lose that customer’s business, which also could adversely affect our sales and results of operations.
Legal and Regulatory Risks
Government regulation, including labeling or warning requirements, could adversely impact our results of operations and financial condition.
As a producer and marketer of food items, our production processes, product quality, packaging, labeling, storage, and distribution, and the safety of food products and the health and safety of our employees, are subject to regulation by various federal, state and local government entities and agencies. In addition, the marketing and labeling of food products has come under increased scrutiny in recent years, and the food industry has been subject to an increasing number of legal proceedings and claims relating to alleged false or deceptive marketing and labeling under federal, state or local laws or regulations. Uncertainty regarding labeling standards has led to customer confusion and legal challenges. The imposition or proposed imposition of additional product labeling or warning requirements could reduce overall consumption of our products, lead to negative publicity (whether based in scientific fact or not) or leave consumers with the perception (whether or not valid) that our products do not meet their health and wellness needs. Such factors could adversely affect our sales and results of operations.
In addition, our operations are subject to extensive and increasingly stringent regulations administered by the Environmental Protection Agency related to the discharge of materials into the environment and the handling and disposition of waste. Failure to comply with these regulations can have serious consequences, including civil and administrative penalties and negative publicity. Changes in applicable laws or regulations or evolving interpretations thereof, including increased government regulations to limit carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions as a result of concern over climate change, may result in increased compliance costs, capital expenditures, and other financial obligations for us, which could affect our profitability or impede the production or distribution of our products, and affect our sales.
Compliance with federal, state and local laws and regulations is costly and time consuming. Failure to comply with, or violations of, applicable laws and the regulatory requirements of one or more of these entities and agencies could subject us to civil remedies, including fines, injunctions, recalls or seizures, as well as potential criminal sanctions, any of which could result in increased operating costs and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. Legal proceedings or claims related to our marketing could damage our reputation and/or adversely affect our business or financial results.
Climate change, or legal, regulatory, or market measures to address climate change, may negatively affect our business and operations.
There is growing concern that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere may have an adverse impact on global temperatures, weather patterns, and the frequency and severity of extreme weather and natural disasters. In the event that such climate change has a negative effect on agricultural productivity, we may be subject to decreased availability or less favorable pricing for certain commodities that are necessary for our products, such as corn and wheat. Adverse weather conditions and natural disasters can reduce crop size and crop quality, which in turn could reduce our supplies of raw materials, lower recoveries of usable raw materials, increase the prices of our raw materials, increase our cost of transporting and storing raw materials, or disrupt our production schedules.
We may also be subjected to decreased availability or less favorable pricing for water as a result of climate change, which could impact our production and distribution operations. In addition, natural disasters and extreme weather conditions may disrupt the productivity of our facilities or the operation of our supply chain. The increasing concern over climate change also may result in more regional, federal, and/or global legal and regulatory requirements to reduce or mitigate the effects of greenhouse gases. In the event that such regulation is enacted and is more aggressive than the sustainability measures that we are currently undertaking to monitor our emissions and improve our energy efficiency, we may experience significant increases in our costs of operation and delivery. In particular, increasing regulation of fuel emissions could substantially increase the distribution and supply chain costs associated with our products. As a result, climate change could negatively affect our business and operations.
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Additionally, as concerns about climate change and other environmental issues continue to increase, we may be required to comply with new laws and regulations which may result in increased/not yet identified compliance costs, the scale of which is to be evaluated. We continue to evaluate the possible impact of such new laws and regulations, including those mentioned in the following sentence. In October 2023, California passed new laws that mandate the disclosure of GHG emissions, including Scope 3 emissions, and climate-related financial risks and measures adopted to reduce and adapt to such risks. Both California laws require initial disclosures in 2026.
We are subject to increasing legal complexity and could be party to litigation that may adversely affect our business.
Increasing legal complexity may continue to affect our operations and results in material ways. We are or could be subject to legal proceedings that may adversely affect our business, including class actions, administrative proceedings, government investigations, securities laws, employment and personal injury claims, disputes with current or former suppliers, claims by current or former distributors, and intellectual property claims (including claims that we infringed another party’s trademarks, copyrights, or patents). Inconsistent standards imposed by governmental authorities can adversely affect our business and increase our exposure to litigation. Litigation involving our independent distributor model and the independent contractor classification of the independent distributors, as well as litigation related to disclosure made by us in connection therewith, if determined adversely, could increase costs, negatively impact our business prospects and the business prospects of our distributors and subject us to incremental liability for their actions. We are also subject to the legal and compliance risks associated with privacy, data collection, protection and management, in particular as it relates to information we collect when we provide products to customers.
Executive Offices
The address and telephone number of our principal executive offices are 1919 Flowers Circle, Thomasville, Georgia 31757, (229) 226-9110.
Information about our Executive Officers
The following table sets forth certain information regarding the persons who currently serve as the executive officers of Flowers Foods.
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EXECUTIVE OFFICERS
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A. Ryals McMullian Age 54 Chairman and Chief Executive Officer |
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Mr. McMullian serves as chairman and chief executive officer of Flowers. He was elected as chairman of the board of directors effective May 25, 2023 and has served as chief executive officer since May 2019. Previously, Mr. McMullian served as president and chief executive officer from May 2019 to August 2023. He served as chief operating officer from July 2018 until May 2019 and as chief strategy officer from May 2017 to July 2018. Prior to those appointments, Mr. McMullian served as vice president of mergers and acquisitions and deputy general counsel from 2015 until 2017, vice president and associate general counsel from 2011 until 2015, and as associate general counsel from 2003, when he joined the company, until 2011. |
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R. Steve Kinsey Age 63 Chief Financial Officer and |
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Mr. Kinsey was named chief financial officer (“CFO”) and chief accounting officer (“CAO”) in April 2020. Previously, he served as executive vice president, CFO and chief administrative officer from May 2017 to April 2020. Mr. Kinsey served as executive vice president and CFO from 2008 until 2017, and as senior vice president and CFO from 2007 to 2008. Prior to those appointments, Mr. Kinsey served in various accounting roles since joining the company in 1989. |
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Heeth Varnedoe IV Age 57 President and Chief Operating Officer |
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Mr. Varnedoe was named president and chief operating officer effective September 2023. Previously, he served as chief operating officer from January 2023 to August 2023. He served as chief transformation officer from December 2020 until January 2023, senior vice president of DSD Regions/Sales from August 2017 until December 2020, and president of Flowers’ Phoenix, Arizona bakery from January 2016 to August 2017. Mr. Varnedoe joined Flowers in 1990 and held a number of positions before leaving the company in 2000 to pursue other business interests. He rejoined Flowers in 2012. |
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Terry S. Thomas Age 54 Chief Growth Officer |
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Mr. Thomas joined Flowers as chief growth officer in September 2023. Prior to joining the company, Mr. Thomas served as global chief customer officer of Unilever, a global food, personal care, and household products company, from January 2022 to July 2023, and executive vice president, chief customer officer of Unilever from July 2019 to July 2023. During his career with Unilever, he was named senior vice president of customer development in 2013 and senior vice president of customer development, U.S. grocery channel, DSD & natural channel in 2018. Prior to joining Unilever, Mr. Thomas worked for PepsiCo, Inc. for 13 years, serving as vice president and general manager of various business channels, including small format, global convenience, gas, drug, dollar, and super regional grocery. Mr. Thomas also held management positions at the Coca-Cola Company, Clorox Company, and The Procter & Gamble Company. From August 2020 to August 2023, Mr. Thomas served on Flowers’ board of directors as an independent director. |
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Stephanie B. Tillman Age 53 Chief Legal Counsel |
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Ms. Tillman was named chief legal counsel and corporate secretary effective January 2020. Previously, she served as vice president, chief compliance officer, and deputy general counsel from April 2011 to January 2020. Prior to that, Ms. Tillman served in various roles in the legal department since joining the company in 1995. |
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Cindy L. Cox Age 57 Chief Human Resources Officer |
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Ms. Cox joined Flowers as chief human resources officer in February 2023. Before joining Flowers, she served as vice president of human resources for the Refrigeration segment of Carrier Corporation, the leading global provider of healthy, safe, sustainable, and intelligent building and cold chain solutions (“Carrier”), since July 2017. During her 27-year tenure with Carrier and Pratt & Whitney, she held multiple human resources roles of increasing scale and responsibility. |
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H. Mark Courtney Age 63 Chief Brand Officer
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Mr. Courtney was named chief brand officer in July 2020. He previously served as president of the Fresh Packaged Bread Business Unit from May 2019 to July 2020, senior vice president of retail accounts from May 2017 to May 2019, and senior vice president of sales from June 2008 to May 2017. Prior to that, Mr. Courtney served in various sales positions since joining the company in 1983. |
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Tom Winters Age 60 Chief Supply Chain Officer |
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Mr. Winters joined Flowers as chief supply chain officer in April 2022. Before joining Flowers, he served as senior vice president of supply chain at PepsiCo, Inc., overseeing supply chain functions for two of the company's North American divisions. During his 19-year tenure at PepsiCo, he also held a number of operations and production roles with responsibility for the management of internal plants, warehouses, and contract manufacturers. He began his career with The Proctor & Gamble Company in 1988, serving in a number of operational leadership roles at production facilities in the U.S. and Puerto Rico until joining PepsiCo in 2003. |
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David M. Roach Age 54 Chief Strategic Projects Officer
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Mr. Roach was named chief strategic projects officer in August 2022. He previously served as president of cake operations from July 2020 until August 2022, president of the Snacking/Specialty Business Unit from May 2017 to July 2020, and senior vice president of organics from September 2015 until May 2017. Mr. Roach served in various sales and management positions since joining the company in 1992. |
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Mark Chaffin Age 53 Chief Information Officer |
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Mr. Chaffin was named chief information officer (“CIO”) in February 2020 after serving four months in an interim capacity. Prior to joining Flowers, Mr. Chaffin was a partner in the Southeast practice of Fortium Partners, a provider of technology leadership services, from 2019 until joining Flowers. He also served as CIO at SGSCO, a global package and brand design and marketing company, from 2015 to 2019 and as CIO for Acosta Sales and Marketing from 2007 to 2015. |
Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments.
None
Item 1C. Cybersecurity.
Protecting the security of our information systems is of significant importance to Flowers. We follow certain policies, protocols, and practices that address cybersecurity.
Risk Management and Strategy. We have processes in place for assessing, identifying and managing material risks from cybersecurity threats. These processes have been integrated into our enterprise risk management system. These processes also cover third-party service provider incidents that may impact the company.
Our cybersecurity program includes employee training and a computer security incident response plan (the “CSIRP”) that provides controls and procedures designed to timely and accurately report material cybersecurity incidents. Employees receive regular security training, and we conduct periodic phishing testing to assess whether our employees require additional training. Additionally, we provide our employees with easy-to-use tools to report potential phishing emails. The CSIRP establishes an organizational framework and guidelines to assist the Company in identifying, responding to, and recovering from computer security incidents both at the company and its third-party service providers in connection with incidents that may impact the company, including the security incident management team (the “SIM Team”), a legal team (the “Legal Team”) and the computer security incident response team (the “CSIRT”). Each of the SIM Team, the Legal Team, and the CSIRT, often in consultation with the VP of Information Security, has a discrete set of responsibilities and obligations under the CSIRP. The CSIRT is a broad, cross-functional team of management stakeholders assigned with coordinating, developing, and managing the Company’s response to computer security incidents when activated.
Once the CSIRT has been activated, incidents are reported to a subcommittee of the Company’s disclosure committee, which consists of certain senior executives and leaders throughout the company and is charged with making disclosure determinations.
The CSIRP provides that, when activated, the CSIRT will lead all aspects of incident response, including the engagement of outside counsel and other third-party resources, such as an external incident response team, forensic resources, a crisis management or public relations firm, or notification service providers. For incidents where the CSIRP is not activated, either the SIM Team or the Legal Team, depending on the circumstances, is expected to lead and manage the incident response.
We maintain insurance covering certain costs that may be incurred in connection with cybersecurity incidents, should they occur. The company engages consultants, auditors, and other third parties to identify and manage risk from third parties.
21
No risks from previous cybersecurity threats have materially affected or are reasonably likely to materially affect Flowers’ business strategy, results of operations, or financial condition. However, we may incur significant costs in protecting or remediating cyber-attacks or other cyber incidents. If we are unable to prevent physical and electronic break-ins, cyber-attacks and other information security breaches, we may suffer financial and reputational damage, be subject to litigation or incur remediation costs or penalties because of the unauthorized disclosure of confidential information belonging to us or to our partners, customers, suppliers or employees.
Governance. The company’s board of directors oversees the company’s Information Security program, which is approved annually. The audit committee is tasked with oversight of certain risk issues, including cybersecurity. As described in its charter, the audit committee of the Board of Directors oversees risks related to information technology security and regularly reviews and discusses with management the company’s information technology security risk exposures, including (a) the potential impact of those exposures on the company’s business, financial results, operations and reputation, (b) the steps that management has taken to monitor and mitigate such exposures, (c) the company’s information governance policies and programs, and (d) legislative and regulatory developments that could materially impact the company’s privacy and data risk exposure.
At the management-level, the company’s IT systems are overseen by our chief information officer, who has responsibility for information technology strategy and operations. The company's Information Security program is led by the company’s VP of Information Security, who has responsibility for information security strategy and operation. This individual has a variety of IT security skills, experiences and professional expertise, obtained through work experience and information security certifications and education.
Management tracks cybersecurity incidents through the process described above. Management regularly reports to the audit committee regarding policies and processes for assessing and managing risk associated with information technology and cybersecurity, as well as material cybersecurity incidents.
Item 2. Properties
Our principal executive offices are company owned and located in Thomasville, Georgia. The company also leases properties that are used for shared services functions and our IT group and owns several properties for our corporate offices. The company also has an additional shared services center in Phoenix, Arizona.
We operate 46 bakeries across the continental U.S. Each of the listed bakeries is company owned except for Modesto, California and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. We believe that our bakeries have adequate production utilization and can meet the current operational requirements for the operation of the business. As discussed in Item 1., Business, of this Form 10-K, the company is restructuring its plant operation responsibilities from the sales function to the supply chain function. This transition began in Fiscal 2023 and is anticipated to be completed for the remaining bakeries in Fiscal 2024. Additionally, across the continental U.S. in the markets we serve, we own approximately 140 warehouse/distribution centers and lease approximately 509 warehouse/distribution centers.
22
The table below sets forth the production and sales operations in our bakeries:
|
|
|
|
|
Alabama |
|
Kansas |
|
Tennessee |
Birmingham (P) |
|
Lenexa (PS) |
|
Cleveland (P) |
Montgomery (P) |
|
Kentucky |
|
Crossville (PS)* |
Tuscaloosa (P) |
|
Bardstown (PS) |
|
Knoxville (PS) |
Arizona |
|
London (PS)* |
|
Texas |
Mesa (PS)* |
|
Louisiana |
|
Denton (PS) |
Tolleson (P) |
|
Baton Rouge (PS) |
|
El Paso (PS) |
Arkansas |
|
Lafayette (P) |
|
Houston (P) |
Batesville (PS) |
|
New Orleans (PS) |
|
Houston (PS) |
Texarkana (P) |
|
Maine |
|
San Antonio (PS) |
California |
|
Lewiston (P) |
|
Tyler (PS) |
Modesto (Leased) (P) |
|
Lewiston (PS) |
|
Utah |
Colorado |
|
Nevada |
|
West Jordan (PS) |
Johnstown (P) |
|
Henderson (PS) |
|
Virginia |
Florida |
|
North Carolina |
|
Lynchburg (P) |
Bradenton (PS) |
|
Goldsboro (PS) |
|
Norfolk (PS) |
Jacksonville (PS) |
|
Jamestown (PS) |
|
|
Lakeland (P) |
|
Newton (PS) |
|
|
Miami (PS) |
|
Oregon |
|
|
Georgia |
|
Milwaukie (PS) |
|
|
Atlanta (P) |
|
Pennsylvania |
|
|
Savannah (P) |
|
Oxford (PS) |
|
|
Suwanee (P) |
|
Philadelphia (Leased) (PS) |
|
|
Thomasville (PS) |
|
|
|
|
Tucker (P) |
|
|
|
|
Villa Rica (P) |
|
|
|
|
P - Production Only |
|
|
|
|
PS - Production and Sales |
|
|
|
|
*Only thrift store sales |
|
|
|
|
We believe our facilities are well-maintained and adequate, that they are being appropriately utilized and that they have sufficient production utilization for their present intended purposes. Utilization is actual labor time as a percent of available hours of production in a week (based on 120 hours/week for three shifts). On a consolidated basis during Fiscal 2023, our average quarterly production utilization ranged from 89% to 98% across all bakeries. During heightened periods of demand, the company can improve utilization by streamlining production with longer production runs and fewer differentiated products produced. Production utilization is not materially different when a sales facility is also located at the bakery.
Item 3. Legal Proceedings
For a description of all material pending legal proceedings, See Note 23, Commitments and Contingencies, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K.
Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures
Not Applicable
23
PART II
Item 5. Market for the Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
Market Information
Shares of the company’s common stock are quoted on the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) under the symbol “FLO.”
Holders
As of February 15, 2024, there were approximately 3,225 holders of record of the company’s common stock.
Dividends
The payment of dividends is subject to the discretion of the company’s Board. The Board bases its decisions regarding dividends on, among other things, general business conditions, our financial results, contractual, legal and regulatory restrictions regarding dividend payments and any other factors the Board may consider relevant.
Purchases of Equity Securities by the Issuer
As originally announced on December 19, 2002, and subsequently increased, our Board of Directors had approved a plan that authorized share repurchases of up to 74.6 million shares. On May 26, 2022, the company announced that the Board of Directors increased the company's share repurchase authorization by 20.0 million shares. Under the share repurchase plan, the company may repurchase its common stock in open market or privately negotiated transactions or under an accelerated share repurchase program at such times and at such prices as determined to be in the company’s best interest. These repurchases may be commenced or suspended without prior notice depending on then-existing business or market conditions and other factors.
During the twelve weeks ended December 30, 2023, 0.7 million shares, at a cost of $14.9 million, of the company’s common stock were repurchased under the share repurchase plan. From the inception of the share repurchase plan through December 30, 2023, 72.0 million shares, at a cost of $733.3 million, have been repurchased. The company currently has 22.5 million shares remaining available for repurchase under the share repurchase plan. The table below sets forth the common stock repurchased by the company during the twelve weeks ended December 30, 2023 (amounts in thousands, except share price data):
Period |
|
Total Number |
|
|
Weighted |
|
|
Total Number of |
|
|
Maximum Number |
|
||||
October 8, 2023 — November 4, 2023 |
|
|
— |
|
|
$ |
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
23,229 |
|
November 5, 2023 — December 2, 2023 |
|
|
700 |
|
|
$ |
21.30 |
|
|
|
700 |
|
|
|
22,529 |
|
December 3, 2023 — December 30, 2023 |
|
|
— |
|
|
$ |
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
22,529 |
|
Total |
|
|
700 |
|
|
$ |
21.30 |
|
|
|
700 |
|
|
|
|
24
Stock Performance Graph
The chart below is a comparison of the cumulative total return (assuming the reinvestment of all dividends paid) of our common stock, Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, Standard & Poor’s 500 Packaged Foods and Meats Index, and Standard & Poor’s MidCap 400 Index for the period December 29, 2018 through December 30, 2023 the last day of our 2023 fiscal year.
|
|
December 29, |
|
|
December 28, |
|
|
January 2, |
|
|
January 1, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
December 30, |
|
||||||
FLOWERS FOODS INC |
|
|
100.00 |
|
|
|
123.00 |
|
|
|
132.50 |
|
|
|
166.47 |
|
|
|
179.74 |
|
|
|
146.26 |
|
S&P 500 INDEX |
|
|
100.00 |
|
|
|
132.97 |
|
|
|
157.02 |
|
|
|
202.09 |
|
|
|
165.49 |
|
|
|
209.00 |
|
S&P 500 PACKAGED FOODS & |
|
|
100.00 |
|
|
|
130.90 |
|
|
|
137.01 |
|
|
|
154.93 |
|
|
|
169.46 |
|
|
|
156.66 |
|
S&P MIDCAP 400 INDEX |
|
|
100.00 |
|
|
|
127.42 |
|
|
|
144.91 |
|
|
|
180.79 |
|
|
|
157.18 |
|
|
|
183.01 |
|
Companies in the S&P 500 Index, the S&P 500 Packaged Foods and Meats Index, and the S&P MidCap 400 Index are weighted by market capitalization and indexed to $100 at December 29, 2018. Flowers Foods’ share price is also indexed to $100 at December 29, 2018.
Item 6. [Reserved]
25
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Item 1., Business, and the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Form 10-K. The following information contains forward-looking statements which involve certain risks and uncertainties. See Forward-Looking Statements at the beginning of this Form 10-K.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) is segregated into four sections, including:
MATTERS AFFECTING COMPARABILITY
The company operates on a 52-53 week fiscal year ending the Saturday nearest December 31. Fiscal 2023 and Fiscal 2022 each consisted of 52 weeks and Fiscal 2024 will also consist of 52 weeks. Furthermore, comparative results from quarter to quarter are impacted by the company's fiscal reporting calendar. Internal financial results and key performance indicators are reported on a weekly basis to ensure the same number of Saturdays and Sundays in comparable months to allow for consistent four-week progression analysis. This results in our first quarter consisting of sixteen weeks while the remaining three quarters have twelve weeks (except in cases where there is an extra week every five or six years in the fourth quarter). Accordingly, interim results may not be indicative of subsequent interim period results, or comparable to prior or subsequent interim period results, due to differences in the lengths of the interim periods.
Additionally, detailed below are expense (recovery) items affecting comparability that will provide additional context while reading this discussion:
|
|
Fiscal 2023 |
|
|
Fiscal 2022 |
|
|
Footnote |
||
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
Disclosure |
||
|
|
(Amounts in thousands) |
|
|
|
|||||
Business process improvement costs |
|
$ |
21,521 |
|
|
$ |
33,169 |
|
|
Note 2 |
Restructuring charges |
|
|
7,099 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
Note 5 |
Plant closure costs and impairment of assets |
|
|
7,298 |
|
|
|
7,825 |
|
|
Note 2 |
Gain on sale, severance costs, and lease termination (gain) loss |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(4,390 |
) |
|
Note 2 |
FASTER Act, net of recovery on inferior ingredients |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
236 |
|
|
Note 4 |
Acquisition-related costs |
|
|
3,712 |
|
|
|
12,518 |
|
|
Note 2, 6 |
Legal settlements and related costs |
|
|
137,529 |
|
|
|
7,500 |
|
|
Note 23 |
|
|
$ |
177,159 |
|
|
$ |
56,858 |
|
|
|
Business process improvement costs related to the transformation strategy initiatives. In the second half of Fiscal 2020, we launched initiatives to transform our business, including upgrading our information system to a more robust platform, as well as investments in e-commerce, autonomous planning, and our “bakery of the future” initiatives. In the first quarter of Fiscal 2022, we launched the digital logistics and digital sales initiatives. Implementation of the ERP upgrade is anticipated to be completed in Fiscal 2026. These initiatives are further discussed in Item 1., Business, of this Form 10-K. The expensed portion of costs incurred related to these initiatives, which was primarily consulting costs, was $21.5 million in Fiscal 2023 and $33.2 million in Fiscal 2022, and is reflected in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
26
Restructuring charges. In February 2023, to improve operational effectiveness, increase profitable sales, and better meet customer requirements, the company announced a restructuring of plant operation responsibilities from the sales function to the supply chain function. Employee termination benefits and other cash charges were primarily for the voluntary employee separation incentive plan (the "VSIP") and employee relocation costs. During Fiscal 2023, we recorded VSIP-related charges of $5.2 million and made VSIP-related payments of $3.8 million. Additionally, we recorded and paid reduction-in-force ("RIF") charges of $0.9 million and relocation costs of $1.0 million in Fiscal 2023. All of these costs are recorded in the restructuring charges line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Plant closure costs and impairment of assets. During the third and fourth quarters of Fiscal 2023, the company entered into agreements to sell a warehouse and a closed bakery, respectively, both of which were classified as held for sale, and recorded as impairment charges totaling $1.8 million. The company completed the sale of the impaired warehouse at the end of the third quarter of Fiscal 2023 and anticipates completing the sale of the closed bakery in the first quarter of Fiscal 2024. Additionally, in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2023, the company recognized an impairment of $5.5 million for its investment in Base Culture, an unconsolidated affiliate accounted for as a cost method investment. Base Culture is discussed in more detail below.
On July 19, 2022, the company announced the closure of the Holsum Bakery in Phoenix, Arizona. The bakery, which, produced bread and bun products, ceased production on October 31, 2022. This closure is part of our strategy to optimize our sales portfolio and improve supply chain and manufacturing efficiency. The company recognized severance costs of $1.7 million, multi-employer pension plan withdrawal costs of $1.3 million, and asset impairment and equipment relocation charges for bakery equipment of $3.8 million in the third quarter of Fiscal 2022. The severance payments were substantially complete as of December 31, 2022. As a result of the manufacturing line closures, the union participants of the IAM National Pension Fund (the "IAM Fund") at the Phoenix, Arizona bakery will withdraw from the IAM Fund. While this is our best estimate of the ultimate cost of the withdrawal from this plan, additional withdrawal liability may be incurred based on the final IAM Fund assessment or in the event of a mass withdrawal, as defined by statute, occurring anytime up to July 19, 2025.
During the first quarter of Fiscal 2022, the company decided to sell two warehouses acquired at the end of Fiscal 2021 and recorded an impairment charge of $1.0 million. The company completed the sale of the impaired warehouse at the end of the first quarter of Fiscal 2022. The plant closure costs and impairment of assets are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Gain on sale, severance costs, and lease termination (gain) loss. In the second quarter of Fiscal 2022, the company committed to a plan to outsource its aviation services and recorded severance and lease termination charges totaling $1.7 million. In the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2022, the company completed the lease buyouts and subsequent sale of two aircraft and recorded gains on these sales totaling $6.1 million. These amounts are reflected in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income. Lease termination costs were paid in the second quarter of Fiscal 2022 and the severance payments were completed in January 2023.
Food allergen compliance costs, net of recovery on inferior ingredients. In the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2022, the company recognized $2.0 million of compliance costs associated with the Food, Allergy Safety, Treatment, Education, and Research Act (the FASTER Act) signed into law on April 23, 2021 and effective on January 1, 2023. The FASTER Act declared sesame as the ninth major food allergen recognized by the U.S. and requires, among other things, all food products containing sesame (or products produced on the same equipment as products containing sesame) to list it in the ingredients statement or in a separate allergen statement on the packaging. The costs were mostly attributable to write-offs of obsolete packaging and are recorded in our Consolidated Statements of Income.
In the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2021, the company issued a voluntary recall on certain Tastykake multi-pack cupcakes sold in eight states and certain Tastykake Krimpets distributed to retail customers throughout the U.S. due to the potential presence of tiny fragments of metal mesh wire. The recall was initiated following notification by a vendor of the possible contamination in a supplied ingredient. The company incurred costs of $1.8 million related to the recall in Fiscal 2021 and received a full reimbursement for the loss in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2022. These costs and related reimbursements are recorded in our Consolidated Statements of Income.
Acquisition-related costs. On December 13, 2022, the company announced it had entered into a definitive agreement to acquire the Papa Pita bakery business ("Papa Pita") and, on February 17, 2023, completed the acquisition for total consideration of approximately $274.8 million, inclusive of a net working capital purchase price adjustment. The property and equipment, certain financial assets and taxes are still under review. We funded the purchase price with cash on-hand and from our existing credit facilities. Papa Pita is a manufacturer and distributor of bagels, tortillas, breads, buns, English muffins, and flat breads with one production facility in West Jordan, Utah and, prior to the acquisition, Papa Pita co-manufactured certain products for us. Papa Pita has direct-store-delivery distribution in the western U.S., expanding our geographic reach. We incurred acquisition-related costs of $3.7 million and $0.9 million in Fiscal 2023 and 2022, respectively.
27
In the third quarter of Fiscal 2022, we incurred $11.6 million in costs from the pursuit of an acquisition that failed to materialize. In addition to customary acquisition costs, we incurred $8.4 million related to realized foreign currency exchange losses. Although the majority of the target company's sales were made in the U.S., the target company's foreign domicile required us to convert funds from U.S. dollars to complete the transaction. Following that conversion, a significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar relative to the target company's currency resulted in the foreign currency exchange loss upon conversion back into U.S. dollars following the failure of the deal.
Acquisition-related costs are recorded in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Legal settlements and related costs. In the third quarter of Fiscal 2023, we reached an agreement to settle certain distributor-related litigation for a settlement payment, inclusive of plaintiffs’ attorney fees, of $55.0 million. The settlement also requires a phased repurchase of approximately 350 distribution territories in California and the company estimates this cost, along with the cost to repurchase approximately 50 other California distribution territories that are not part of the settlement, to be approximately $80.2 million. Additional costs of $2.3 million were recognized to fully impair held and used distribution rights classified as intangible assets. The terms of the settlement require court approval and preliminary approval was obtained in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2023. The legal settlement and related costs are higher than originally estimated in the Form 8-K filed by the company on September 1, 2023 primarily due to the planned repurchase of the additional distribution territories that were not part of the settlement.
During the second and third quarters of Fiscal 2022, we reached agreements to settle certain distributor-related litigation in the aggregate amount of $7.5 million, inclusive of attorney fees. The settlement accrued for in the second quarter of Fiscal 2022 was paid in the third quarter of Fiscal 2022 and the settlement accrued for in the third quarter of Fiscal 2022 was paid in Fiscal 2023.
All amounts related to legal settlements and related costs are recorded in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income. As of December 30, 2023, $119.6 million of settlements were accrued (inclusive of obligations for the repurchase of distribution territories) and the remaining reserve for the related distributor notes receivable was $14.8 million.
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
We are the second-largest producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the U.S. with Fiscal 2023 sales of $5.1 billion. We operate in the highly competitive fresh bakery market. Our product offerings include a wide range of fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, and tortillas, as well as frozen breads and rolls, which we produce at 46 plants in 19 states. Our products are sold under leading brands such as Nature’s Own, Dave’s Killer Bread ("DKB"), Canyon Bakehouse, Tastykake, Mrs. Freshley’s, and Wonder. See Item 1., Business, of this Form 10-K for additional information regarding our customers and brands, business strategies, strengths and core competencies, and competition and risks.
Impact of the Inflationary Economic Environment and Other Macroeconomic Factors on Our Business
We continue to monitor the impact of the inflationary economic environment, supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the conflict in the Middle East on our business as further discussed in Item 1., Business, of this Form 10-K.
Summary of Operating Results, Cash Flows and Financial Condition:
Our results in Fiscal 2023 continued to benefit from a more optimized sales mix of branded retail products as compared to pre-pandemic periods. However, we experienced significant input cost inflation for commodities and, to a lesser extent, for transportation and labor, in Fiscal 2023 and Fiscal 2022. To mitigate these cost pressures, we implemented price increases in the first and second quarters of Fiscal 2023. Additionally, we incurred significant costs associated with a legal settlement in Fiscal 2023.
Sales increased 5.9% in Fiscal 2023 compared to Fiscal 2022. Price/mix contributed 10.1% to the sales growth and the Papa Pita acquisition contributed 1.1%, partially offset by volume declines of 5.3%. The benefits of inflation-driven pricing actions were partially offset by volume softness and consumer trade down to store branded products. Our volumes were impacted by targeted sales rationalization, exiting certain lower margin business, and overall softness in the fresh packaged bread category resulting from inflationary pressure on consumer spending and shifts in consumer behavior and preferences. Sales of our leading brands, Nature's Own, DKB, and Canyon Bakehouse, continued to increase from positive price/mix but volumes were lower except for DKB.
Income from operations for Fiscal 2023 was $172.9 million compared to $303.2 million in Fiscal 2022. The decrease resulted primarily from an increase in legal settlements and related costs of $130.0 million, input cost inflation, decreases in production volumes,
28
increased marketing investments, and higher maintenance costs in the current year. Those factors were partially offset by price increases, reduced outside purchases of product, and lower acquisition-related and consulting costs year over year.
Net income was $123.4 million for Fiscal 2023 compared to $228.4 million in the prior year. The decrease year over year resulted primarily from lower income from operations, as described above, and higher net interest expense, partially offset by a lower effective tax rate.
In Fiscal 2023, we generated net cash flows from operations of $349.4 million, paid $274.8 million for the Papa Pita acquisition, inclusive of the net working capital purchase price adjustment, and invested $129.1 million in capital expenditures (inclusive of $27.8 million for the ongoing ERP upgrade). Additionally, we made stock repurchases of $45.8 million and paid $195.2 million in dividends to our shareholders. Our cash and cash equivalents balance as of December 30, 2023 was $22.5 million. In Fiscal 2023, we terminated the accounts receivable securitization facility (the "securitization facility") and entered into a two-year $200.0 million trade receivable repurchase facility (the "repurchase facility").
In Fiscal 2022, we generated net cash flows from operations of $360.9 million and invested $169.1 million in capital expenditures (inclusive of $61.3 million for the ongoing ERP upgrade) and $9.0 million in a cost-method investment as further discussed below. Additionally, we made $34.6 million in stock repurchases and paid $186.5 million in dividends to our shareholders in Fiscal 2022.
During the second quarter of Fiscal 2022, we invested $9.0 million in Base Culture, a Clearwater, Florida-based company with one manufacturing facility. We made an additional investment of $2.0 million in Base Culture in the second quarter of Fiscal 2023. Base Culture's product offerings include better-for-you, gluten-free, and grain-free sliced breads and baked goods and are all-natural, 100% Paleo-certified, kosher-certified, dairy-free, soy-free, and non-GMO verified. As discussed above, in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2023, the company recognized a $5.5 million impairment related to this investment.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The company’s discussion and analysis of its results of operations and financial condition are based upon the Consolidated Financial Statements of the company, which have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. (“GAAP”). The preparation of these financial statements requires the company to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of the revenues, expenses, and cash flows during the reporting period. On an ongoing basis, the company evaluates its estimates, including those related to customer programs and incentives, bad debts, raw materials, inventories, long-lived assets, leased assets, intangible assets, income taxes, restructuring, pensions and other post-retirement benefits, and contingencies and litigation. The company bases its estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ from these estimates.
The selection and disclosure of the company’s critical accounting estimates have been discussed with the company’s audit committee. Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K includes a summary of the significant accounting policies and methods used in the preparation of the Consolidated Financial Statements. The following table lists, in no particular order of importance, areas of critical assumptions and estimates used in the preparation of the Consolidated Financial Statements. Additional detail can be found in the following notes:
Critical Accounting Estimate |
|
Note |
|
|
Revenue recognition |
|
|
— |
|
Derivative financial instruments |
|
|
11 |
|
Long-lived assets |
|
|
— |
|
Goodwill and other intangible assets |
|
|
10 |
|
Leases |
|
|
14 |
|
Self-insurance reserves |
|
|
23 |
|
Income tax expense and accruals |
|
|
22 |
|
Postretirement plans |
|
|
21 |
|
Stock-based compensation |
|
|
19 |
|
Commitments and contingencies |
|
|
23 |
|
Revenue Recognition. Revenue is recognized when obligations under the terms of a contract with our customers are satisfied. Revenue is measured as the amount of consideration we expect to receive in exchange for transferring goods or providing services. The company records both direct and estimated reductions to gross revenue for customer programs and incentive offerings at the time the incentive is offered or at the time of revenue recognition for the underlying transaction that results in progress by the customer towards earning the incentive. These allowances include price promotion discounts, coupons, customer rebates, cooperative advertising, and
29
product returns. Consideration payable to a customer is recognized at the time control transfers and is a reduction to revenue. The recognition of costs for promotion programs involves the use of judgment related to performance and redemption estimates. Estimates are made based on historical experience and other factors. Price promotion discount expense is recorded as a reduction to gross sales when the discounted product is sold to the customer.
Derivative Financial Instruments. The company’s cost of certain raw materials is highly correlated to underlying commodities markets. Raw materials, such as our baking ingredients, experience price fluctuations. If actual market conditions become significantly different than those anticipated, raw material prices could increase significantly, adversely affecting our results of operations. We enter into forward purchase agreements and other derivative financial instruments qualifying for hedge accounting to manage the impact of volatility in raw material prices. The company measures the fair value of its derivative portfolio using fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in the principal market for that asset or liability. When quoted market prices for identical assets or liabilities are not available, the company bases fair value on internally developed models that use current market observable inputs, such as exchange-quoted futures prices and yield curves. Refer to Item 7A., Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk, of this Form 10-K for additional information about our derivative financial instruments, including a sensitivity analysis of the company’s potential exposure to commodity price risk.
Valuation of Long-Lived Assets, Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets. The company records an impairment charge to property, plant and equipment, goodwill and intangible assets in accordance with applicable accounting standards when, based on certain indicators of impairment, it believes such assets have experienced a decline in value that is other than temporary. Future adverse changes in market conditions or poor operating results of these underlying assets could result in losses or an inability to recover the carrying value of the asset that may not be reflected in the asset’s current carrying value, thereby possibly requiring impairment charges in the future. Impairment charges recorded in Fiscal 2023 and Fiscal 2022 are discussed above in the “Matters Affecting Comparability” section.
Flowers has concluded it has one operating segment based on the nature of products that Flowers sells, an intertwined production and distribution model, the internal management structure and information that is regularly reviewed by the CEO, who is the chief operating decision maker, for the purpose of assessing performance and allocating resources. The company also determined we have one reporting unit.
The company evaluates the recoverability of the carrying value of its goodwill on an annual basis or at a time when events occur that indicate the carrying value of the goodwill may be impaired. We have elected not to perform the qualitative approach, but instead perform a quantitative analysis by comparing the fair value of the reporting unit with which the goodwill is associated to the carrying amount of the reporting unit. If the fair value is less than the carrying value, the goodwill is written down to the extent the carrying amount exceeds the fair value.
Our annual evaluation of goodwill impairment requires management judgment and the use of estimates and assumptions to determine the fair value of our reporting unit. Fair value is estimated using standard valuation methodologies incorporating market participant considerations and management’s assumptions on revenue, revenue growth rates, operating margins, discount rates, and EBITDA (defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization). Our estimates can significantly affect the outcome of the test. We perform the fair value assessment using the income and market approach. Changes in our forecasted operating results and other assumptions could materially affect these estimates. This test is performed in the fourth quarter of each fiscal year unless circumstances require this analysis to be completed sooner. The income approach is tested using a sensitivity analysis to changes in the discount rate and yield a sufficient buffer to significant variances in our estimates. The estimated fair value of our reporting unit exceeded its carrying value in excess of $3.4 billion in Fiscal 2023. A 1% decrease in the discount rate would increase the fair value of the reporting unit by $0.9 billion and a 1% increase in the discount rate would decrease the fair value by $0.7 billion. Based on management’s evaluation, no impairment charges relating to goodwill were recorded for Fiscal 2023 or Fiscal 2022.
In connection with acquisitions, the company has acquired trademarks, customer lists, and non-compete agreements, a portion of which are amortizable. The company evaluates these assets whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of the asset may not be recoverable. The undiscounted future cash flows of each intangible asset are compared to the carrying amount, and if less than the carrying value, the intangible asset is written down to the extent the carrying amount exceeds the fair value. The fair value is computed using the same approach described above for goodwill and includes the same risks and estimates. The fair value of the trademarks could be less than our carrying value if any of our four material assumptions in our fair value analysis: (a) weighted average cost of capital; (b) long-term sales growth rates; (c) forecasted operating margins; and (d) market multiples do not meet our expectations, thereby requiring us to record an asset impairment. We use the multi-period excess earnings and relief from royalty methods to value these intangibles. The method used for impairment testing purposes is consistent with the valuation method employed at acquisition of the intangible asset. In Fiscal 2023, we recorded a $2.3 million charge to fully impair held and used distribution rights classified as intangibles assets. This was in conjunction with costs related to a California legal settlement. No impairment charges related to amortizing intangible assets were recorded in Fiscal 2022.
30
As of December 30, 2023, the company also owns trademarks acquired through acquisitions with a total carrying value of $127.1 million that are indefinite-lived intangible assets not subject to amortization. The company evaluates the recoverability of intangible assets not subject to amortization by comparing the fair value to the carrying value on an annual basis or at a time when events occur that indicate the carrying value may be impaired. In addition, the assets are evaluated to determine whether events and circumstances continue to support an indefinite life. The fair value is compared to the carrying value of the intangible asset, and if less than the carrying value, the intangible asset is written down to fair value. There are certain inherent risks included in our expectations about the performance of acquired trademarks and brands. If we are unable to implement our growth strategies for these acquired intangible assets as expected, it could adversely impact the carrying value of the brands. The fair value of the trademarks could be less than our carrying value if any of our four material assumptions in our fair value analysis: (a) weighted average cost of capital; (b) long-term sales growth rates; (c) forecasted operating margins; and (d) market multiples do not meet our expectations, thereby requiring us to record an asset impairment.
Leases. The company’s leases consist of the following types of assets: two bakeries, corporate office space, warehouses, bakery equipment, transportation, and IT equipment. The company uses the applicable incremental borrowing rate at lease commencement to perform the lease classification tests on lease components and to measure the lease liabilities and right-of-use assets in situations when discount rates implicit in leases cannot be readily determined.
Self-Insurance Reserves. We are self-insured for various levels of general liability, auto liability, workers’ compensation, and employee medical and dental coverage. Insurance reserves are calculated on a combination of an undiscounted basis based on actual claims data and estimates of incurred but not reported claims developed utilizing historical claims trends. Projected settlements of incurred but not reported claims are estimated based on pending claims, historical trends, industry trends related to expected losses and actual reported losses, and key assumptions, including loss development factors and expected loss rates. Though the company does not expect them to do so, actual settlements and claims could differ materially from those estimated. Material differences in actual settlements and claims could have an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
A sensitivity analysis has been prepared to quantify the impact of changes in claim severity and frequency on the estimated unpaid losses on the company’s workers’ compensation liabilities. We estimate a 1% change in the claim severity and frequency would result in an approximately $0.6 million change in the workers’ compensation liability.
Income Tax Expense and Accruals. The annual tax rate is based on our income, statutory tax rates, and tax planning opportunities available to us in the various jurisdictions in which we operate. Changes in statutory rates and tax laws in jurisdictions in which we operate may have a material effect on the annual tax rate. The effect of these changes, if any, would be recognized as a discrete item upon enactment.
Deferred income taxes arise from temporary differences between the tax and financial statement recognition of revenues and expenses. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured based on the enacted tax rates that will apply in the years in which the temporary differences are expected to be recovered or paid.
Our income tax expense, deferred tax assets and liabilities, and reserve for uncertain tax benefits reflect our best assessment of future taxes to be paid in the jurisdictions in which we operate. The company records a valuation allowance to reduce its deferred tax assets if we believe it is more likely than not that some or all of the deferred assets will not be realized. While the company considers future taxable income and ongoing prudent and feasible tax strategies in assessing the need for a valuation allowance, if these estimates and assumptions change in the future, the company may be required to adjust its valuation allowance, which could result in a charge to, or an increase in, income in the period such determination is made.
Periodically, we face audits from federal and state tax authorities, which can result in challenges regarding the timing and amount of income or deductions. We provide reserves for potential exposures when we consider it more likely than not that a taxing authority may take a sustainable position on a matter contrary to our position. We evaluate these reserves on a quarterly basis to ensure that they have been appropriately adjusted for events, including audit settlements that may impact the ultimate payment of such potential exposures. While the ultimate outcome of audits cannot be predicted with certainty, we do not currently believe that current or future audits will have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition or results of operations. The company is no longer subject to federal examination for years prior to Fiscal 2020, and with limited exceptions, for years prior to 2019 in state jurisdictions.
Postretirement Plans. The company records pension costs and benefit obligations related to its defined benefit plans based on actuarial valuations. These valuations reflect key assumptions determined by management, including the discount rate, expected long-term rate of return on plan assets and mortality. Material changes in pension costs and in benefit obligations may occur in the future due to experience that is different than assumed and changes in these assumptions. A sensitivity analysis of pension costs has been prepared to quantify the impact of changes in the discount rate. We estimate a 0.25% change in the discount rate would result in approximately $0.1 million change in pension costs on a pre-tax basis.
31
The company sponsors a defined benefit pension plan for union employees, the Flowers Foods, Inc. Retirement Plan No. 2 ("Plan No. 2"), and a frozen nonqualified plan covering former Tasty executives.
We use a spot rate approach (“granular method”) to estimate the service cost and interest cost components of benefit cost by applying the specific spot rates along the yield curve to the relevant projected cash flows, as we believe this provides the best estimate of service and interest costs.
The pension plan’s investment committee, which consists of certain members of management, establishes investment guidelines and regularly monitors the performance of the plan’s assets. The investment committee is responsible for executing these strategies and investing the pension assets in accordance with ERISA and fiduciary standards. The investment objective of the pension plan is to preserve the plan’s capital and maximize investment earnings within acceptable levels of risk and volatility. The investment committee meets on a regular basis with its investment advisors to review the performance of the plan’s assets. Based upon performance and other measures and recommendations from its investment advisors, the investment committee rebalances the plan’s assets to the targeted allocation when considered appropriate. The asset allocation for Plan No. 2 as of December 31, 2023 is equal to 23% equity securities, 75% fixed-income securities, and 2% short-term investments and cash. For the details of our pension plan assets, see Note 21, Postretirement Plans, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K.
In developing the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets at each measurement date, the company considers the plan assets’ historical actual returns, targeted asset allocations, and the anticipated future economic environment and long-term performance of the individual asset classes, based on the company’s investment strategy. While appropriate consideration is given to recent and historical investment performance, the assumption represents management’s best estimate of the long-term prospective return. Further, pension costs do not include an explicit expense assumption, and therefore the return on assets rate reflects the long-term expected return, net of expenses. Based on these factors, the long-term rate of return assumption for Plan No. 2 is set at 5.9% (net of investment and administrative fees, assumed to be 0.4% per annum) for Fiscal 2024.
The company utilizes the Society of Actuaries’ (“SOA”) published mortality tables and improvement scales in developing their best estimates of mortality. In October 2019, the SOA published its final report on their “standard” mortality table (“Pri-2012”). For purposes of measuring pension benefit obligations of Plan No. 2, the company used the Pri-2012 base table with blue collar adjustment, and 117.1% multiplier, and a projection scale of MP-2021. No other collar adjustments are applied for any other plans. In addition, contingent annuitant mortality rates are applied for surviving spouses after the death of the original retiree.
The company determines the fair value of substantially all of its plans’ assets utilizing market quotes rather than developing “smoothed” values, “market related” values, or other modeling techniques. Plan asset gains or losses in a given year are included with other actuarial gains and losses due to remeasurement of the plans’ projected benefit obligations (“PBO”). If the total unrecognized gain or loss exceeds 10% of the larger of (i) the PBO or (ii) the market value of plan assets, the excess of the total unrecognized gain or loss is amortized over the expected average remaining service period of active covered employees (or average future lifetime of participants if the plan is inactive or frozen). Prior service cost or credit, which represents the effect on plan liabilities due to plan amendments, is amortized over the average remaining service period of active covered employees (or average future lifetime if the plan is inactive or frozen).
In Fiscal 2024, the company does not expect to make any cash contributions to Plan No. 2 and expects to pay $0.3 million in nonqualified pension benefits from corporate assets.
Stock-based compensation. Stock-based compensation expense for all share-based payment awards granted is determined based on the grant date fair value. The company recognizes these compensation costs net of an estimated forfeiture rate, and recognizes compensation cost only for those shares expected to vest on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period of the award, which is generally the vesting term of the share-based payment award.
We grant performance stock awards that separately have a market and performance condition. The expense computed for the total shareholder return shares (“TSR”) is fixed and recognized on a straight-line basis over the vesting period. The expense computed for the return on invested capital (“ROIC”) shares can change depending on the expected attainment of performance condition goals. The expense for the ROIC shares can be within a range of 0% to 125% of the target. There is a possibility that this expense component will change in subsequent quarters depending on how the company performs relative to the ROIC target. Additionally, there are time-based stock awards that vest over a period of three years. See Note 19, Stock-Based Compensation, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K for additional information. In early Fiscal 2024, the company granted stock awards to certain employees. The company expects stock-based compensation expense for Fiscal 2024 to be relatively consistent with Fiscal 2023. This estimate is inclusive of an additional $2.0 million of expense anticipated to be recognized in the first quarter of Fiscal 2024 due to the payout for the Fiscal 2022 grant currently trending since the grant date at 125% of target.
32
Commitments and contingencies. The company and its subsidiaries from time to time are parties to, or targets of, lawsuits, claims, investigations and proceedings, including personal injury, commercial, contract, environmental, antitrust, product liability, health and safety and employment matters, including lawsuits related to the independent distributors, which are being handled and defended in the ordinary course of business. Loss contingencies are recorded at the time it is probable an asset is impaired or a liability has been incurred and the amount can be reasonably estimated. For litigation claims, the company considers the degree of probability of an unfavorable outcome and the ability to make a reasonable estimate of the loss. Losses are recorded in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Results of Operations
Consolidated Results - Fiscal 2023 compared to Fiscal 2022
The company’s results of operations, expressed as a percentage of sales, are set forth below for Fiscal 2023 and Fiscal 2022:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of Sales |
|
|
Increase (Decrease) |
|
||||||||||||
|
|
Fiscal 2023 |
|
|
Fiscal 2022 |
|
|
Fiscal 2023 |
|
|
Fiscal 2022 |
|
|
Dollars |
|
|
% |
|
||||||
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
(Amounts in thousands, except percentages) |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Sales |
|
$ |
5,090,830 |
|
|
$ |
4,805,822 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
$ |
285,008 |
|
|
|
5.9 |
|
Materials, supplies, labor and other production |
|
|
2,632,136 |
|
|
|
2,501,995 |
|
|
|
51.7 |
|
|
|
52.1 |
|
|
|
130,141 |
|
|
|
5.2 |
|
Selling, distribution, and administrative |
|
|
2,119,718 |
|
|
|
1,850,594 |
|
|
|
41.6 |
|
|
|
38.5 |
|
|
|
269,124 |
|
|
|
14.5 |
|
Restructuring charges |
|
|
7,099 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
7,099 |
|
|
NM |
|
|
FASTER Act, net of recovery on inferior ingredients |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
236 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
(236 |
) |
|
NM |
|
|
Plant closure costs and impairment of assets |
|
|
7,298 |
|
|
|
7,825 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
(527 |
) |
|
NM |
|
|
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
151,709 |
|
|
|
141,957 |
|
|
|
3.0 |
|
|
|
3.0 |
|
|
|
9,752 |
|
|
|
6.9 |
|
Income from operations |
|
|
172,870 |
|
|
|
303,215 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
6.3 |
|
|
|
(130,345 |
) |
|
|
(43.0 |
) |
Other components of net periodic pension and |
|
|
(269 |
) |
|
|
(773 |
) |
|
|
(0.0 |
) |
|
|
(0.0 |
) |
|
|
504 |
|
|
NM |
|
|
Interest expense, net |
|
|
16,032 |
|
|
|
5,277 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
10,755 |
|
|
|
203.8 |
|
Income before income taxes |
|
|
157,107 |
|
|
|
298,711 |
|
|
|
3.1 |
|
|
|
6.2 |
|
|
|
(141,604 |
) |
|
|
(47.4 |
) |
Income tax expense |
|
|
33,691 |
|
|
|
70,317 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
1.5 |
|
|
|
(36,626 |
) |
|
|
(52.1 |
) |
Net income |
|
$ |
123,416 |
|
|
$ |
228,394 |
|
|
|
2.4 |
|
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
$ |
(104,978 |
) |
|
|
(46.0 |
) |
Comprehensive income |
|
$ |
122,563 |
|
|
$ |
227,281 |
|
|
|
2.4 |
|
|
|
4.7 |
|
|
$ |
(104,718 |
) |
|
|
(46.1 |
) |
NM – the computation is not meaningful.
Percentages may not add due to rounding.
Sales
|
|
Fiscal 2023 |
|
|
Fiscal 2022 |
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
|
|
$ |
|
|
% |
|
|
$ |
|
|
% |
|
|
% Change |
|
|||||
|
|
(Amounts in |
|
|
|
|
|
(Amounts in |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Branded retail |
|
$ |
3,263,277 |
|
|
|
64.1 |
|
|
$ |
3,139,306 |
|
|
|
65.3 |
|
|
|
3.9 |
|
Other |
|
|
1,827,553 |
|
|
|
35.9 |
|
|
|
1,666,516 |
|
|
|
34.7 |
|
|
|
9.7 |
|
Total |
|
$ |
5,090,830 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
$ |
4,805,822 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
|
5.9 |
|
(The table above presents certain sales by category that have been reclassified from amounts previously reported to conform to the current period presentation.)
33
The change in sales was attributable to the following:
Percentage point change in sales attributed to: |
|
Branded Retail |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Total |
|
|||
|
|
Favorable (Unfavorable) |
|
|||||||||
Pricing/Mix* |
|
|
5.5 |
|
|
|
16.3 |
|
|
|
10.1 |
|
Volume* |
|
|
(2.6 |
) |
|
|
(7.8 |
) |
|
|
(5.3 |
) |
Acquisition |
|
|
1.0 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
|
1.1 |
|
Total percentage point change in sales |
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
|
9.7 |
|
|
|
5.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
* Computations above are calculated as follows: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Price/Mix $ = Current fiscal year units x change in price per unit |
|
|||||||||||
Price/Mix % = Price/Mix $ ÷ Prior fiscal year Sales $ |
|
|||||||||||
|
|
|||||||||||
Volume $ = Prior fiscal year price per unit x change in units |
|
|||||||||||
Volume % = Volume $ ÷ Prior fiscal year Sales $ |
|
The company disaggregates its sales into two categories, Branded Retail and Other. This aligns with our brand-focused strategy to drive above-market growth via innovation and focusing on higher margin products. The Other category includes store branded retail and non-retail sales (foodservice, restaurant, institutional, vending, thrift stores, and contract manufacturing).
Sales increased year over year due to positive pricing actions implemented in the first quarter of Fiscal 2023 and midway through the second quarter of Fiscal 2023 and Fiscal 2022, to mitigate cost inflation, and the Papa Pita acquisition contribution. These increases were partially offset by volume declines. The price increases implemented in the first quarter of Fiscal 2023 were focused on our store branded and non-retail sales, whereas the price increases implemented in the second quarter of Fiscal 2023 predominately targeted branded retail sales. Volume decreases were most significant for non-retail items and, to a lesser extent, branded retail traditional loaf breads and branded retail cake products. Our mix of Branded Retail sales to total sales of 64.1% decreased as compared to 65.3% for Fiscal 2022, but continued to exceed pre-pandemic levels (60.1% for Fiscal 2019). Year over year, the promotional environment remained relatively stable, however, promotional activity was higher in the second half of Fiscal 2023 as compared to the same period in the prior year.
We anticipate our Fiscal 2024 sales will be positively impacted by the benefit of price increases implemented during Fiscal 2023 however, this benefit could be offset by changes in consumer buying patterns, changes in promotional activity, and from cycling certain exits of lower margin business that occurred in Fiscal 2023.
Branded Retail Sales
Branded retail sales increased 3.9% year over year due to favorable price/mix resulting from inflation-driven pricing actions in the second quarters of both Fiscal 2022 and Fiscal 2023 and the acquisition contribution, partially offset by volume declines. Branded retail sales in the prior year period benefitted from strong demand at the beginning of the year as a result of increased COVID-19 cases. The largest volume declines occurred in branded traditional loaf breads and branded cake. Inflationary pressure on consumer spending contributed to lower volumes. Additionally, declines in branded cake resulted from market share declines and targeted sales rationalization, partially offset by supply chain disruptions and labor shortages in the prior year.
Sales of our leading brands, Nature's Own, DKB, and Canyon Bakehouse, increased year over year from inflation-driven price increases, partially offset by volume declines with the exception of DKB which experienced volume growth. We experienced capacity constraints for production of our Canyon Bakehouse products during Fiscal 2023 which contributed to the lower sales volumes. New product introductions, such as Nature's Own Keto bread and Hawaiian loaf bread along with DKB organic snack bars and Organic Everything Bread, all introduced within the last two years, contributed to the branded retail sales increase. The DKB snack bars, which rolled out nationally in Fiscal 2023, and snack bites, which were sold in test markets in Fiscal 2023, are part of an initiative to extend our presence beyond the traditional bread category and into the snacking category.
Other Sales
Sales in the Other category increased 9.7% due to significant price increases implemented in the second quarter of Fiscal 2022 and in the first quarter of Fiscal 2023 to mitigate inflationary pressures, and the acquisition contribution, partially offset by volume declines. Store branded retail sales increased year over year from inflation-driven price increases, and, to a lesser extent, the acquisition contribution, partially offset by volume declines, with the largest decline in cake items. Store branded retail sales comprised a larger portion of our total sales as compared to the prior year, but remained a smaller portion of our total sales mix relative to pre-pandemic levels. Non-retail sales increased year over year from positive price/mix, mostly due to inflation-driven pricing actions, and the acquisition contribution, partially offset by volume declines. Foodservice and vending drove most of the volume decrease, primarily
34
due to exiting certain lower margin business and targeted sales rationalization. Supply chain disruptions experienced in both years negatively impacted sales volumes. These volume declines were partially offset by increased contract manufacturing volume.
Materials, Supplies, Labor, and Other Production Costs (exclusive of depreciation and amortization shown separately; as a percent of sales)
Line item component |
|
Fiscal 2023 |
|
|
Fiscal 2022 |
|
|
Change as a |
|
|||
Ingredients and packaging |
|
|
32.0 |
|
|
|
31.8 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
Workforce-related costs |
|
|
13.8 |
|
|
|
13.8 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Other |
|
|
5.9 |
|
|
|
6.5 |
|
|
|
(0.6 |
) |
Total |
|
|
51.7 |
|
|
|
52.1 |
|
|
|
(0.4 |
) |
Materials, supplies, labor and other production costs as a percent of sales decreased year over year due to implementing inflation-driven pricing actions to combat considerable input cost inflation experienced over the past two years. Increased product returns, lower production volumes, and increased bakery maintenance costs partially offset the overall improvement. We experienced supply chain disruptions in both periods. Costs for certain ingredients moderated in Fiscal 2023 relative to the prior year but overall were still higher than the prior year as a percent of sales. Additionally, certain products purchased from Papa Pita in the prior year period and up until the acquisition date were reflected as outside purchases of product (sales with no associated ingredient costs) in the Other line item. This shift in expense between cost categories impacted comparability year over year. Workforce-related costs were unchanged as a percent of sales. Sales increases outpaced wage inflation however, lower production volumes and the competitive labor market impacted our operations and we expect this trend to continue. The decrease in the Other line item mostly reflects lower outside purchases of product, mostly due to the Papa Pita acquisition, net of higher bakery maintenance costs.
Prices of ingredient and packaging materials fluctuate due to various factors including, but not limited to, government policy and regulation, weather conditions, domestic and international demand, or other unforeseen circumstances, and we monitor these markets closely. Ingredient and packaging costs were volatile in both Fiscal 2023 and 2022 but are expected to be more favorable in Fiscal 2024. We enter into forward purchase agreements and other financial instruments to manage the impact of volatility in certain raw material prices. Any decrease in the availability of these agreements and instruments could increase the price of these raw materials and significantly affect our earnings.
Selling, Distribution, and Administrative Expenses (as a percent of sales)
Line item component |
|
Fiscal 2023 |
|
|
Fiscal 2022 |
|
|
Change as a |
|
|||
Workforce-related costs |
|
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11.1 |